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Predictions › Colombia › Jaguares de Córdoba vs Atlético Bucaramanga
Colombian Primera ASun 8 Nov, 21:05 Colombia time

Jaguares de Córdoba vs Atlético Bucaramanga prediction

Estadio Jaraguay (Municipal de Montería)

Jaguares de CórdobaHome
1.21 : 1.30
expected goals
Atlético BucaramangaAway
33%Jaguares
28%Draw
38%Bucaramanga
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for Jaguares de Córdoba vs Atlético Bucaramanga is Atlético Bucaramanga to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.31.

Prediction
Atlético Bucaramanga to win
Chance
38%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Jaguares de Córdoba 1.2, Atlético Bucaramanga 1.3
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.31
Both teams to score
52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1.312 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.381 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Jaguares de Córdoba 33%, the draw 28% and Atlético Bucaramanga 38%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Jaguares de Córdoba took 6 points from their last 5 games and Atlético Bucaramanga took 5 from 5. Jaguares de Córdoba come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Jaguares de Córdoba won 5 of their last 11 games at home. Atlético Bucaramanga won 4 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Jaguares de Córdoba score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.8. Atlético Bucaramanga score 1.6 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Jaguares de Córdoba games and 10 of Atlético Bucaramanga games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Jaguares de Córdoba won 0 and Atlético Bucaramanga won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Atlético Bucaramanga 2, Jaguares de Córdoba 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Jaguaresrecent form-3%
  • Bucaramangarecent form-1%
  • Bucaramangarest between games-2%
Jaguares form D L L W LBucaramanga form L L D D WHome edge in this league 39% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Jaguares de Córdoba vs Atlético Bucaramanga: Atlético Bucaramanga shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Jaguares de Córdoba host Atlético Bucaramanga in the Colombian Primera A on Sun 8 Nov, 21:05 at Estadio Jaraguay (Municipal de Montería). Our prediction for Jaguares de Córdoba vs Atlético Bucaramanga is Atlético Bucaramanga to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.31.

Jaguares de Córdoba form

Jaguares de Córdoba have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Atlético Bucaramanga form

Atlético Bucaramanga have 7 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Jaguares de Córdoba won 0, Atlético Bucaramanga won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Atlético Bucaramanga 2, Jaguares de Córdoba 2.

Our call

We expect Jaguares de Córdoba to score about 1.2 goals and Atlético Bucaramanga about 1.3. That points to Atlético Bucaramanga to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.31. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.38.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

JaguaresBucaramanga
Games played2020
Wins57
Draws58
Losses105
Goals scored2532
Goals conceded3523
Scored per game1.31.6
Conceded per game1.81.1
Home record5W 3D 3L3W 6D 0L
Away record0W 2D 7L4W 2D 5L
Clean sheets20%20%
Both teams scored60%70%
Over 2.5 goals60%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals72%1.38
Over 2.5 goals46%2.18
Over 3.5 goals24%4.09
Both teams to score52%1.93
Jaguares de Córdoba or Draw62%1.62
Atlético Bucaramanga or Draw67%1.50
Jaguares de Córdoba to win and Over 2.519%5.40
Atlético Bucaramanga to win and Over 2.521%4.68
Jaguares de Córdoba clean sheet27%3.68
Atlético Bucaramanga clean sheet30%3.34

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.6%
0-19.8%
1-09.0%
0-08.9%
1-28.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Jaguares de Córdoba vs Atlético Bucaramanga?

Our prediction for Jaguares de Córdoba vs Atlético Bucaramanga is Atlético Bucaramanga to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Jaguares de Córdoba vs Atlético Bucaramanga?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-0. We expect Jaguares de Córdoba to score 1.2 goals and Atlético Bucaramanga 1.3.

Will both teams score in Jaguares de Córdoba vs Atlético Bucaramanga?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Jaguares de Córdoba last 20 games and 14 of Atlético Bucaramanga last 20.

How are Jaguares de Córdoba playing?

Jaguares de Córdoba have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Atlético Bucaramanga playing?

Atlético Bucaramanga have 7 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, W, newest first.

What happened when Jaguares de Córdoba and Atlético Bucaramanga last met?

It ended Atlético Bucaramanga 2, Jaguares de Córdoba 2. In the last 1 meeting Jaguares de Córdoba won 0 and Atlético Bucaramanga won 0.

What is the best bet for Jaguares de Córdoba vs Atlético Bucaramanga?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.31, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Jaguares against Bucaramanga. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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