Predictions › Colombia › Jaguares de Córdoba vs Llaneros FC
Colombian Primera AMon 26 Oct, 23:00 Colombia time

Jaguares de Córdoba vs Llaneros FC prediction

Estadio Jaraguay (Municipal de Montería)

Jaguares de CórdobaHome
1.36 : 1.18
expected goals
Llaneros FCAway
40%Jaguares
28%Draw
32%Llaneros FC
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.33

Quick answer

Our prediction for Jaguares de Córdoba vs Llaneros FC is Jaguares de Córdoba to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33.

Prediction
Jaguares de Córdoba to win
Chance
40%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Jaguares de Córdoba 1.4, Llaneros FC 1.2
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.33
Both teams to score
52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1.332 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.461 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Jaguares de Córdoba 40%, the draw 28% and Llaneros FC 32%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Jaguares de Córdoba took 4 points from their last 5 games and Llaneros FC took 3 from 5. Jaguares de Córdoba come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Jaguares de Córdoba won 4 of their last 11 games at home. Llaneros FC won 2 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Jaguares de Córdoba score 1.2 goals a game and let in 1.7. Llaneros FC score 0.9 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Jaguares de Córdoba games and 7 of Llaneros FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Jaguares de Córdoba won 0 and Llaneros FC won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Llaneros FC 2, Jaguares de Córdoba 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Jaguaresrecent form-4%
  • Llaneros FCrecent form-3%
Jaguares form D L L L DLlaneros FC form D L L L WHome edge in this league 39% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Jaguares de Córdoba vs Llaneros FC: Jaguares de Córdoba shade it

The big picture

Jaguares de Córdoba host Llaneros FC in the Colombian Primera A on Mon 26 Oct, 23:00 at Estadio Jaraguay (Municipal de Montería). Our prediction for Jaguares de Córdoba vs Llaneros FC is Jaguares de Córdoba to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33.

Jaguares de Córdoba form

Jaguares de Córdoba have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, D, newest first.

Llaneros FC form

Llaneros FC have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Jaguares de Córdoba won 0, Llaneros FC won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Llaneros FC 2, Jaguares de Córdoba 0.

Our call

We expect Jaguares de Córdoba to score about 1.4 goals and Llaneros FC about 1.2. That points to Jaguares de Córdoba to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.46.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

JaguaresLlaneros FC
Games played2020
Wins45
Draws66
Losses109
Goals scored2418
Goals conceded3424
Scored per game1.20.9
Conceded per game1.71.2
Home record4W 4D 3L3W 2D 3L
Away record0W 2D 7L2W 4D 6L
Clean sheets15%30%
Both teams scored60%50%
Over 2.5 goals55%35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals73%1.37
Over 2.5 goals47%2.14
Over 3.5 goals25%3.97
Both teams to score52%1.91
Jaguares de Córdoba or Draw68%1.46
Llaneros FC or Draw60%1.67
Jaguares de Córdoba to win and Over 2.523%4.36
Llaneros FC to win and Over 2.518%5.65
Jaguares de Córdoba clean sheet31%3.26
Llaneros FC clean sheet26%3.90

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.4%
1-09.9%
0-08.6%
2-18.6%
0-18.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Jaguares de Córdoba vs Llaneros FC?

Our prediction for Jaguares de Córdoba vs Llaneros FC is Jaguares de Córdoba to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33.

What is the score prediction for Jaguares de Córdoba vs Llaneros FC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Jaguares de Córdoba to score 1.4 goals and Llaneros FC 1.2.

Will both teams score in Jaguares de Córdoba vs Llaneros FC?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Jaguares de Córdoba last 20 games and 10 of Llaneros FC last 20.

How are Jaguares de Córdoba playing?

Jaguares de Córdoba have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, D, newest first.

How are Llaneros FC playing?

Llaneros FC have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Jaguares de Córdoba and Llaneros FC last met?

It ended Llaneros FC 2, Jaguares de Córdoba 0. In the last 1 meeting Jaguares de Córdoba won 0 and Llaneros FC won 1.

What is the best bet for Jaguares de Córdoba vs Llaneros FC?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.33, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Jaguares against Llaneros FC. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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