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Predictions › United States › James Madison Dukes vs App State Mountaineers
College FootballThu 22 Oct, 19:00 United States time

James Madison Dukes vs App State Mountaineers prediction

Kidd Brewer Stadium

James Madison DukesAway
27.7 : 22.8
projected points
App State MountaineersHome
64%James Madison
36%App State
Eagle safe pickJames Madison +5.5
-298

Quick answer

Our prediction for James Madison Dukes vs App State Mountaineers is James Madison Dukes to win, with a 64% chance. We project James Madison Dukes 27.7 and App State Mountaineers 22.8. Our best bet is James Madison +5.5 at -298.

Prediction
James Madison Dukes to win
Chance
64%
Projected score
James Madison Dukes 28, App State Mountaineers 23
Projected total
50.5 points
Best bet
James Madison +5.5 at -298

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

James Madison +5.5
75% chanceFair price -2981 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

App State to win
36% chanceFair price +1751 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives App State Mountaineers 36% and James Madison Dukes 64%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    App State Mountaineers won 3 of their last 5 and James Madison Dukes won 5 of their last 5. James Madison Dukes come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    App State Mountaineers won 4 of their last 9 games at home. James Madison Dukes won 8 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    App State Mountaineers score 25.1 points a game and let in 28.9. James Madison Dukes score 39.5 and let in 17.2. Their recent games average 54.0 and 56.7 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, App State Mountaineers won 0 and James Madison Dukes won 1. The last one ended James Madison Dukes 58, App State Mountaineers 10.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    James Madison +5.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • App Staterest between games-2%
  • James Madisonrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

James Madison Dukes vs App State Mountaineers: James Madison Dukes are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

App State Mountaineers host James Madison Dukes in the College Football on Thu 22 Oct, 19:00 at Kidd Brewer Stadium. Our prediction for James Madison Dukes vs App State Mountaineers is James Madison Dukes to win, with a 64% chance. We project James Madison Dukes 27.7 and App State Mountaineers 22.8. Our best bet is James Madison +5.5 at -298.

App State Mountaineers form

App State Mountaineers have 6 wins and 10 losses in their last 16 games, with 402 points scored and 462 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

James Madison Dukes form

James Madison Dukes have 17 wins and 1 loss in their last 18 games, with 711 points scored and 309 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. App State Mountaineers won 0, James Madison Dukes won 1. Last time out it finished James Madison Dukes 58, App State Mountaineers 10.

Our call

We expect James Madison Dukes to score about 27.7 points and App State Mountaineers about 22.8. That points to James Madison Dukes to win. Our safest bet is James Madison +5.5 at -298. Our bold bet is App State to win at +175.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 18 games in all competitions.

App StateJames Madison
Games played1618
Wins617
Losses101
Points scored402711
Points conceded462309
Scored per game25.139.5
Conceded per game28.917.2
Home record4W 5L9W 0L
Away record2W 5L8W 1L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

App State spreadCoversFair
App State -2.532%+212
App State +1.541%+142
App State +4.549%+105
App State +7.556%-129
App State +11.566%-193
Total pointsOverUnder
43.567%33%
47.557%43%
50.550%50%
53.543%57%
57.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. App State +3.5 wins if App State win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win James Madison Dukes vs App State Mountaineers?

Our prediction for James Madison Dukes vs App State Mountaineers is James Madison Dukes to win, with a 64% chance. We project James Madison Dukes 27.7 and App State Mountaineers 22.8. Our best bet is James Madison +5.5 at -298.

What is the projected score for James Madison Dukes vs App State Mountaineers?

We project James Madison Dukes 27.7 and App State Mountaineers 22.8, about 50.5 points in total.

How are App State Mountaineers playing?

App State Mountaineers have 6 wins and 10 losses in their last 16 games, with 402 points scored and 462 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are James Madison Dukes playing?

James Madison Dukes have 17 wins and 1 loss in their last 18 games, with 711 points scored and 309 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when App State Mountaineers and James Madison Dukes last met?

It ended James Madison Dukes 58, App State Mountaineers 10. In the last 1 meeting App State Mountaineers won 0 and James Madison Dukes won 1.

What is the best bet for James Madison Dukes vs App State Mountaineers?

James Madison +5.5 at -298, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in App State against James Madison. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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