Predictions › United States › James Madison Dukes vs Georgia Southern Eagles
College FootballSat 10 Oct, 00:00 United States time

James Madison Dukes vs Georgia Southern Eagles prediction

Allen E. Paulson Stadium

James Madison DukesAway
34.5 : 25.8
projected points
Georgia Southern EaglesHome
72%James Madison
28%GA Southern
Eagle safe pickUnder 70.5 points
-291

Quick answer

Our prediction for James Madison Dukes vs Georgia Southern Eagles is James Madison Dukes to win, with a 72% chance. We project James Madison Dukes 34.5 and Georgia Southern Eagles 25.8. Our best bet is Under 70.5 points at -291.

Prediction
James Madison Dukes to win
Chance
72%
Projected score
James Madison Dukes 34, Georgia Southern Eagles 26
Projected total
60.3 points
Best bet
Under 70.5 points at -291

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 70.5 points
74% chanceFair price -2911 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

GA Southern to win
28% chanceFair price +2561 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Georgia Southern Eagles 28% and James Madison Dukes 72%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Georgia Southern Eagles won 2 of their last 5 and James Madison Dukes won 4 of their last 5. James Madison Dukes come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Georgia Southern Eagles won 5 of their last 8 games at home. James Madison Dukes won 7 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Georgia Southern Eagles score 28.1 points a game and let in 27.6. James Madison Dukes score 39.9 and let in 16.8. Their recent games average 55.7 and 56.7 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Georgia Southern Eagles won 0 and James Madison Dukes won 1. The last one ended James Madison Dukes 35, Georgia Southern Eagles 10.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 70.5 points has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

James Madison Dukes vs Georgia Southern Eagles: James Madison Dukes are favourites

The big picture

Georgia Southern Eagles host James Madison Dukes in the College Football on Sat 10 Oct, 00:00 at Allen E. Paulson Stadium. Our prediction for James Madison Dukes vs Georgia Southern Eagles is James Madison Dukes to win, with a 72% chance. We project James Madison Dukes 34.5 and Georgia Southern Eagles 25.8. Our best bet is Under 70.5 points at -291.

Georgia Southern Eagles form

Georgia Southern Eagles have 8 wins and 7 losses in their last 15 games, with 422 points scored and 414 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

James Madison Dukes form

James Madison Dukes have 15 wins and 1 loss in their last 16 games, with 639 points scored and 268 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Georgia Southern Eagles won 0, James Madison Dukes won 1. Last time out it finished James Madison Dukes 35, Georgia Southern Eagles 10.

Our call

We expect James Madison Dukes to score about 34.5 points and Georgia Southern Eagles about 25.8. That points to James Madison Dukes to win. Our safest bet is Under 70.5 points at -291. Our bold bet is GA Southern to win at +256.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 16 games in all competitions.

GA SouthernJames Madison
Games played1516
Wins815
Losses71
Points scored422639
Points conceded414268
Scored per game28.139.9
Conceded per game27.616.8
Home record5W 3L8W 0L
Away record3W 4L7W 1L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

GA Southern spreadCoversFair
GA Southern +1.533%+205
GA Southern +5.542%+137
GA Southern +8.550%+101
GA Southern +11.557%-133
GA Southern +15.567%-199
Total pointsOverUnder
53.566%34%
57.557%43%
60.550%50%
63.542%58%
67.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. GA Southern +3.5 wins if GA Southern win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win James Madison Dukes vs Georgia Southern Eagles?

Our prediction for James Madison Dukes vs Georgia Southern Eagles is James Madison Dukes to win, with a 72% chance. We project James Madison Dukes 34.5 and Georgia Southern Eagles 25.8. Our best bet is Under 70.5 points at -291.

What is the projected score for James Madison Dukes vs Georgia Southern Eagles?

We project James Madison Dukes 34.5 and Georgia Southern Eagles 25.8, about 60.3 points in total.

How are Georgia Southern Eagles playing?

Georgia Southern Eagles have 8 wins and 7 losses in their last 15 games, with 422 points scored and 414 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

How are James Madison Dukes playing?

James Madison Dukes have 15 wins and 1 loss in their last 16 games, with 639 points scored and 268 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Georgia Southern Eagles and James Madison Dukes last met?

It ended James Madison Dukes 35, Georgia Southern Eagles 10. In the last 1 meeting Georgia Southern Eagles won 0 and James Madison Dukes won 1.

What is the best bet for James Madison Dukes vs Georgia Southern Eagles?

Under 70.5 points at -291, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in GA Southern against James Madison. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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