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Predictions › United States › James Madison Dukes vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles
College FootballThu 5 Nov, 20:00 United States time

James Madison Dukes vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles prediction

M. M. Roberts Stadium

James Madison DukesAway
33.8 : 24.9
projected points
Southern Miss Golden EaglesHome
73%James Madison
27%Southern Miss
Eagle safe pickJames Madison +1.5
-304

Quick answer

Our prediction for James Madison Dukes vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles is James Madison Dukes to win, with a 73% chance. We project James Madison Dukes 33.8 and Southern Miss Golden Eagles 24.9. Our best bet is James Madison +1.5 at -304.

Prediction
James Madison Dukes to win
Chance
73%
Projected score
James Madison Dukes 34, Southern Miss Golden Eagles 25
Projected total
58.7 points
Best bet
James Madison +1.5 at -304

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

James Madison +1.5
75% chanceFair price -3042 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Southern Miss to win
27% chanceFair price +2651 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Southern Miss Golden Eagles 27% and James Madison Dukes 73%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Southern Miss Golden Eagles won 1 of their last 5 and James Madison Dukes won 4 of their last 5. James Madison Dukes come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Southern Miss Golden Eagles won 5 of their last 10 games at home. James Madison Dukes won 8 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Southern Miss Golden Eagles score 27.7 points a game and let in 29.4. James Madison Dukes score 39.5 and let in 18.3. Their recent games average 57.1 and 57.8 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    James Madison +1.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Southern Missrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

James Madison Dukes vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles: James Madison Dukes are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Southern Miss Golden Eagles host James Madison Dukes in the College Football on Thu 5 Nov, 20:00 at M. M. Roberts Stadium. Our prediction for James Madison Dukes vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles is James Madison Dukes to win, with a 73% chance. We project James Madison Dukes 33.8 and Southern Miss Golden Eagles 24.9. Our best bet is James Madison +1.5 at -304.

Southern Miss Golden Eagles form

Southern Miss Golden Eagles have 8 wins and 10 losses in their last 18 games, with 499 points scored and 529 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

James Madison Dukes form

James Madison Dukes have 18 wins and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 791 points scored and 365 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect James Madison Dukes to score about 33.8 points and Southern Miss Golden Eagles about 24.9. That points to James Madison Dukes to win. Our safest bet is James Madison +1.5 at -304. Our bold bet is Southern Miss to win at +265.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Southern MissJames Madison
Games played1820
Wins818
Losses102
Points scored499791
Points conceded529365
Scored per game27.739.5
Conceded per game29.418.3
Home record5W 5L10W 0L
Away record3W 5L8W 2L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Southern Miss spreadCoversFair
Southern Miss +1.532%+210
Southern Miss +5.542%+140
Southern Miss +8.549%+104
Southern Miss +11.557%-130
Southern Miss +15.566%-195
Total pointsOverUnder
51.567%33%
55.558%42%
58.550%50%
61.543%57%
65.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Southern Miss +3.5 wins if Southern Miss win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win James Madison Dukes vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles?

Our prediction for James Madison Dukes vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles is James Madison Dukes to win, with a 73% chance. We project James Madison Dukes 33.8 and Southern Miss Golden Eagles 24.9. Our best bet is James Madison +1.5 at -304.

What is the projected score for James Madison Dukes vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles?

We project James Madison Dukes 33.8 and Southern Miss Golden Eagles 24.9, about 58.7 points in total.

How are Southern Miss Golden Eagles playing?

Southern Miss Golden Eagles have 8 wins and 10 losses in their last 18 games, with 499 points scored and 529 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are James Madison Dukes playing?

James Madison Dukes have 18 wins and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 791 points scored and 365 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for James Madison Dukes vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles?

James Madison +1.5 at -304, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Southern Miss against James Madison. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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