Predictions › United States › James Madison Dukes vs UConn Huskies
College FootballSat 14 Nov, 12:00 United States time

James Madison Dukes vs UConn Huskies prediction

Pratt & Whitney Stadium

James Madison DukesAway
31.1 : 29.1
projected points
UConn HuskiesHome
57%James Madison
43%UConn
Eagle safe pickUConn +12.5
-308

Quick answer

Our prediction for James Madison Dukes vs UConn Huskies is James Madison Dukes to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project James Madison Dukes 31.1 and UConn Huskies 29.1. Our best bet is UConn +12.5 at -308.

Prediction
James Madison Dukes to win
Chance
57%
Projected score
James Madison Dukes 31, UConn Huskies 29
Projected total
60.2 points
Best bet
UConn +12.5 at -308

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

UConn +12.5
75% chanceFair price -3082 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

UConn to win
43% chanceFair price +1351 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives UConn Huskies 43% and James Madison Dukes 57%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    UConn Huskies won 2 of their last 5 and James Madison Dukes won 3 of their last 5. James Madison Dukes come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    UConn Huskies won 7 of their last 9 games at home. James Madison Dukes won 7 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    UConn Huskies score 34.5 points a game and let in 27.0. James Madison Dukes score 39.0 and let in 18.8. Their recent games average 61.5 and 57.9 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    UConn +12.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

James Madison Dukes vs UConn Huskies: James Madison Dukes shade it

The big picture

UConn Huskies host James Madison Dukes in the College Football on Sat 14 Nov, 12:00 at Pratt & Whitney Stadium. Our prediction for James Madison Dukes vs UConn Huskies is James Madison Dukes to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project James Madison Dukes 31.1 and UConn Huskies 29.1. Our best bet is UConn +12.5 at -308.

UConn Huskies form

UConn Huskies have 12 wins and 7 losses in their last 19 games, with 655 points scored and 513 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

James Madison Dukes form

James Madison Dukes have 17 wins and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 781 points scored and 376 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect James Madison Dukes to score about 31.1 points and UConn Huskies about 29.1. That points to James Madison Dukes to win. Our safest bet is UConn +12.5 at -308. Our bold bet is UConn to win at +135.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

UConnJames Madison
Games played1920
Wins1217
Losses73
Points scored655781
Points conceded513376
Scored per game34.539.0
Conceded per game27.018.8
Home record7W 2L10W 1L
Away record5W 5L7W 2L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

UConn spreadCoversFair
UConn -4.534%+193
UConn -0.544%+129
UConn +2.551%-105
UConn +5.559%-141
UConn +9.568%-212
Total pointsOverUnder
53.566%34%
57.557%43%
60.549%51%
63.542%58%
67.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. UConn +3.5 wins if UConn win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win James Madison Dukes vs UConn Huskies?

Our prediction for James Madison Dukes vs UConn Huskies is James Madison Dukes to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project James Madison Dukes 31.1 and UConn Huskies 29.1. Our best bet is UConn +12.5 at -308.

What is the projected score for James Madison Dukes vs UConn Huskies?

We project James Madison Dukes 31.1 and UConn Huskies 29.1, about 60.2 points in total.

How are UConn Huskies playing?

UConn Huskies have 12 wins and 7 losses in their last 19 games, with 655 points scored and 513 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

How are James Madison Dukes playing?

James Madison Dukes have 17 wins and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 781 points scored and 376 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for James Madison Dukes vs UConn Huskies?

UConn +12.5 at -308, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in UConn against James Madison. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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