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Predictions › Japan › JEF United Ichihara-Chiba vs Avispa Fukuoka
J1 LeagueSun 1 Nov, 05:00 Japan time

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba vs Avispa Fukuoka prediction

Fukuda Denshi Arena

JEF United Ichihara-ChibaHome
1.08 : 0.98
expected goals
Avispa FukuokaAway
37%JEF Utd Chiba
32%Draw
32%A Fukuoka
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for JEF United Ichihara-Chiba vs Avispa Fukuoka is JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19.

Prediction
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to win
Chance
37%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba 1.1, Avispa Fukuoka 1.0
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.19
Both teams to score
42%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
84% chanceFair price 1.192 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 6.991 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives JEF United Ichihara-Chiba 37%, the draw 32% and Avispa Fukuoka 32%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    JEF United Ichihara-Chiba took 3 points from their last 5 games and Avispa Fukuoka took 3 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    JEF United Ichihara-Chiba won 1 of their last 9 games at home. Avispa Fukuoka won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    JEF United Ichihara-Chiba score 1.1 goals a game and let in 2.0. Avispa Fukuoka score 1.1 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of JEF United Ichihara-Chiba games and 11 of Avispa Fukuoka games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, JEF United Ichihara-Chiba won 0 and Avispa Fukuoka won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended JEF United Ichihara-Chiba 1, Avispa Fukuoka 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • JEF Utd Chibarecent form-1%
  • A Fukuokarecent form-3%
  • JEF Utd Chibarest between games-5%
  • A Fukuokarest between games-5%
JEF Utd Chiba form D D D L DA Fukuoka form D L W L LHome edge in this league 15% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba vs Avispa Fukuoka: JEF United Ichihara-Chiba shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba host Avispa Fukuoka in the J1 League on Sun 1 Nov, 05:00 at Fukuda Denshi Arena. Our prediction for JEF United Ichihara-Chiba vs Avispa Fukuoka is JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19.

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba form

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba have 2 wins, 4 draws and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 41 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, D, newest first.

Avispa Fukuoka form

Avispa Fukuoka have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. JEF United Ichihara-Chiba won 0, Avispa Fukuoka won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished JEF United Ichihara-Chiba 1, Avispa Fukuoka 2.

Our call

We expect JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to score about 1.1 goals and Avispa Fukuoka about 1.0. That points to JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 6.99.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

JEF Utd ChibaA Fukuoka
Games played2020
Wins24
Draws46
Losses1410
Goals scored2123
Goals conceded4130
Scored per game1.11.1
Conceded per game2.01.5
Home record1W 2D 6L2W 4D 5L
Away record1W 2D 8L2W 2D 5L
Clean sheets15%5%
Both teams scored55%65%
Over 2.5 goals60%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals62%1.62
Over 2.5 goals34%2.94
Over 3.5 goals15%6.47
Both teams to score42%2.37
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba or Draw68%1.46
Avispa Fukuoka or Draw63%1.57
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to win and Over 2.516%6.16
Avispa Fukuoka to win and Over 2.514%7.25
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba clean sheet37%2.68
Avispa Fukuoka clean sheet34%2.94

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.3%
0-013.5%
1-012.9%
0-111.7%
2-07.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win JEF United Ichihara-Chiba vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Our prediction for JEF United Ichihara-Chiba vs Avispa Fukuoka is JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for JEF United Ichihara-Chiba vs Avispa Fukuoka?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 1-0. We expect JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to score 1.1 goals and Avispa Fukuoka 1.0.

Will both teams score in JEF United Ichihara-Chiba vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Both teams to score has a 42% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of JEF United Ichihara-Chiba last 20 games and 13 of Avispa Fukuoka last 20.

How are JEF United Ichihara-Chiba playing?

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba have 2 wins, 4 draws and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 41 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, D, newest first.

How are Avispa Fukuoka playing?

Avispa Fukuoka have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when JEF United Ichihara-Chiba and Avispa Fukuoka last met?

It ended JEF United Ichihara-Chiba 1, Avispa Fukuoka 2. In the last 2 meetings JEF United Ichihara-Chiba won 0 and Avispa Fukuoka won 1.

What is the best bet for JEF United Ichihara-Chiba vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in JEF Utd Chiba against A Fukuoka. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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