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Predictions › Japan › JEF United Ichihara-Chiba vs Mito Hollyhock
J1 LeagueSun 8 Nov, 08:00 Japan time

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba vs Mito Hollyhock prediction

Fukuda Denshi Arena

JEF United Ichihara-ChibaHome
1.55 : 1.03
expected goals
Mito HollyhockAway
49%JEF Utd Chiba
27%Draw
24%Mito Hollyhock
Eagle safe pickJEF United Ichihara-Chiba or Draw
1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for JEF United Ichihara-Chiba vs Mito Hollyhock is JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is JEF United Ichihara-Chiba or Draw at 1.31.

Prediction
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to win
Chance
49%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba 1.6, Mito Hollyhock 1.0
Best bet
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba or Draw at 1.31
Both teams to score
51%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba or Draw
76% chanceFair price 1.312 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to win and Over 2.5
28% chanceFair price 3.591 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives JEF United Ichihara-Chiba 49%, the draw 27% and Mito Hollyhock 24%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    JEF United Ichihara-Chiba took 3 points from their last 5 games and Mito Hollyhock took 0 from 5. JEF United Ichihara-Chiba come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    JEF United Ichihara-Chiba won 1 of their last 9 games at home. Mito Hollyhock won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    JEF United Ichihara-Chiba score 1.1 goals a game and let in 2.0. Mito Hollyhock score 0.8 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of JEF United Ichihara-Chiba games and 9 of Mito Hollyhock games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, JEF United Ichihara-Chiba won 0 and Mito Hollyhock won 0 with 2 draws. The last one ended JEF United Ichihara-Chiba 1, Mito Hollyhock 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    JEF United Ichihara-Chiba or Draw has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • JEF Utd Chibarecent form-3%
  • Mito Hollyhockrecent form-6%
JEF Utd Chiba form D L D D LMito Hollyhock form D L L L LHome edge in this league 16% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba vs Mito Hollyhock: JEF United Ichihara-Chiba are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba host Mito Hollyhock in the J1 League on Sun 8 Nov, 08:00 at Fukuda Denshi Arena. Our prediction for JEF United Ichihara-Chiba vs Mito Hollyhock is JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is JEF United Ichihara-Chiba or Draw at 1.31.

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba form

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba have 2 wins, 5 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 41 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, D, L, newest first.

Mito Hollyhock form

Mito Hollyhock have 2 wins, 5 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 38 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. JEF United Ichihara-Chiba won 0, Mito Hollyhock won 0 and 2 games ended level. Last time out it finished JEF United Ichihara-Chiba 1, Mito Hollyhock 1.

Our call

We expect JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to score about 1.6 goals and Mito Hollyhock about 1.0. That points to JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is JEF United Ichihara-Chiba or Draw at 1.31. Our bold bet is JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to win and Over 2.5 at 3.59.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

JEF Utd ChibaMito Hollyhock
Games played2020
Wins22
Draws55
Losses1313
Goals scored2217
Goals conceded4138
Scored per game1.10.8
Conceded per game2.01.9
Home record1W 2D 6L1W 3D 7L
Away record1W 3D 7L1W 2D 6L
Clean sheets15%0%
Both teams scored55%55%
Over 2.5 goals60%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals74%1.36
Over 2.5 goals48%2.10
Over 3.5 goals26%3.86
Both teams to score51%1.95
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba or Draw76%1.32
Mito Hollyhock or Draw51%1.95
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to win and Over 2.529%3.50
Mito Hollyhock to win and Over 2.513%7.54
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba clean sheet36%2.79
Mito Hollyhock clean sheet21%4.72

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.8%
1-011.1%
2-19.4%
2-09.1%
0-08.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win JEF United Ichihara-Chiba vs Mito Hollyhock?

Our prediction for JEF United Ichihara-Chiba vs Mito Hollyhock is JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is JEF United Ichihara-Chiba or Draw at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for JEF United Ichihara-Chiba vs Mito Hollyhock?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to score 1.6 goals and Mito Hollyhock 1.0.

Will both teams score in JEF United Ichihara-Chiba vs Mito Hollyhock?

Both teams to score has a 51% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of JEF United Ichihara-Chiba last 20 games and 11 of Mito Hollyhock last 20.

How are JEF United Ichihara-Chiba playing?

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba have 2 wins, 5 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 41 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, D, L, newest first.

How are Mito Hollyhock playing?

Mito Hollyhock have 2 wins, 5 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 38 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when JEF United Ichihara-Chiba and Mito Hollyhock last met?

It ended JEF United Ichihara-Chiba 1, Mito Hollyhock 1. In the last 2 meetings JEF United Ichihara-Chiba won 0 and Mito Hollyhock won 0.

What is the best bet for JEF United Ichihara-Chiba vs Mito Hollyhock?

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba or Draw at 1.31, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in JEF Utd Chiba against Mito Hollyhock. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
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