EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › Japan › JEF United Ichihara-Chiba vs V-Varen Nagasaki
J1 LeagueSun 11 Oct, 05:00 Japan time

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba vs V-Varen Nagasaki prediction

Fukuda Denshi Arena

JEF United Ichihara-ChibaHome
1.32 : 1.45
expected goals
V-Varen NagasakiAway
34%JEF Utd Chiba
27%Draw
39%V-Varen
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for JEF United Ichihara-Chiba vs V-Varen Nagasaki is V-Varen Nagasaki to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Prediction
V-Varen Nagasaki to win
Chance
39%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba 1.3, V-Varen Nagasaki 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.31
Both teams to score
57%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1.312 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.871 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives JEF United Ichihara-Chiba 34%, the draw 27% and V-Varen Nagasaki 39%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    JEF United Ichihara-Chiba took 4 points from their last 5 games and V-Varen Nagasaki took 5 from 5. V-Varen Nagasaki come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    JEF United Ichihara-Chiba won 2 of their last 9 games at home. V-Varen Nagasaki won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    JEF United Ichihara-Chiba score 1.1 goals a game and let in 2.0. V-Varen Nagasaki score 1.1 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of JEF United Ichihara-Chiba games and 11 of V-Varen Nagasaki games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • JEF Utd Chibarecent form-3%
  • V-Varenrecent form-1%
JEF Utd Chiba form L D W L LV-Varen form D W L D LHome edge in this league 15% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba vs V-Varen Nagasaki: V-Varen Nagasaki shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba host V-Varen Nagasaki in the J1 League on Sun 11 Oct, 05:00 at Fukuda Denshi Arena. Our prediction for JEF United Ichihara-Chiba vs V-Varen Nagasaki is V-Varen Nagasaki to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba form

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba have 3 wins, 3 draws and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 41 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, L, L, newest first.

V-Varen Nagasaki form

V-Varen Nagasaki have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 0 draws and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, D, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to score about 1.3 goals and V-Varen Nagasaki about 1.4. That points to V-Varen Nagasaki to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.87.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

JEF Utd ChibaV-Varen
Games played2020
Wins36
Draws34
Losses1410
Goals scored2222
Goals conceded4132
Scored per game1.11.1
Conceded per game2.01.6
Home record2W 1D 6L4W 4D 3L
Away record1W 2D 8L2W 0D 7L
Clean sheets10%15%
Both teams scored55%55%
Over 2.5 goals60%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals77%1.30
Over 2.5 goals52%1.91
Over 3.5 goals30%3.31
Both teams to score57%1.76
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba or Draw61%1.65
V-Varen Nagasaki or Draw66%1.51
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to win and Over 2.521%4.83
V-Varen Nagasaki to win and Over 2.525%4.07
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba clean sheet23%4.26
V-Varen Nagasaki clean sheet27%3.76

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.7%
1-28.7%
0-18.3%
2-17.9%
1-07.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win JEF United Ichihara-Chiba vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

Our prediction for JEF United Ichihara-Chiba vs V-Varen Nagasaki is V-Varen Nagasaki to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for JEF United Ichihara-Chiba vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to score 1.3 goals and V-Varen Nagasaki 1.4.

Will both teams score in JEF United Ichihara-Chiba vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

Both teams to score has a 57% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of JEF United Ichihara-Chiba last 20 games and 11 of V-Varen Nagasaki last 20.

How are JEF United Ichihara-Chiba playing?

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba have 3 wins, 3 draws and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 41 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, L, L, newest first.

How are V-Varen Nagasaki playing?

V-Varen Nagasaki have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 0 draws and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, D, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for JEF United Ichihara-Chiba vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.31, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in JEF Utd Chiba against V-Varen. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.