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Predictions › Japan › JEF United Ichihara-Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos
J1 LeagueSat 17 Oct, 05:00 Japan time

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos prediction

Fukuda Denshi Arena

JEF United Ichihara-ChibaHome
1.05 : 2.11
expected goals
Yokohama F. MarinosAway
17%JEF Utd Chiba
21%Draw
61%Yokohama FM
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.25

Quick answer

Our prediction for JEF United Ichihara-Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos is Yokohama F. Marinos to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

Prediction
Yokohama F. Marinos to win
Chance
61%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba 1.1, Yokohama F. Marinos 2.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.25
Both teams to score
58%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
80% chanceFair price 1.252 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Yokohama F. Marinos to win and Over 2.5
40% chanceFair price 2.481 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives JEF United Ichihara-Chiba 17%, the draw 21% and Yokohama F. Marinos 61%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    JEF United Ichihara-Chiba took 4 points from their last 5 games and Yokohama F. Marinos took 8 from 5. Yokohama F. Marinos come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    JEF United Ichihara-Chiba won 2 of their last 9 games at home. Yokohama F. Marinos won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    JEF United Ichihara-Chiba score 1.1 goals a game and let in 2.0. Yokohama F. Marinos score 1.6 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of JEF United Ichihara-Chiba games and 9 of Yokohama F. Marinos games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, JEF United Ichihara-Chiba won 0 and Yokohama F. Marinos won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended JEF United Ichihara-Chiba 2, Yokohama F. Marinos 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • JEF Utd Chibarecent form-3%
  • Yokohama FMrecent form+1%
JEF Utd Chiba form L D W L LYokohama FM form W D W D LHome edge in this league 15% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos: Yokohama F. Marinos are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba host Yokohama F. Marinos in the J1 League on Sat 17 Oct, 05:00 at Fukuda Denshi Arena. Our prediction for JEF United Ichihara-Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos is Yokohama F. Marinos to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba form

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba have 3 wins, 3 draws and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 41 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, L, L, newest first.

Yokohama F. Marinos form

Yokohama F. Marinos have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. JEF United Ichihara-Chiba won 0, Yokohama F. Marinos won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished JEF United Ichihara-Chiba 2, Yokohama F. Marinos 3.

Our call

We expect JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to score about 1.1 goals and Yokohama F. Marinos about 2.1. That points to Yokohama F. Marinos to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25. Our bold bet is Yokohama F. Marinos to win and Over 2.5 at 2.48.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

JEF Utd ChibaYokohama FM
Games played2020
Wins38
Draws35
Losses147
Goals scored2233
Goals conceded4127
Scored per game1.11.6
Conceded per game2.01.4
Home record2W 1D 6L3W 3D 4L
Away record1W 2D 8L5W 2D 3L
Clean sheets10%30%
Both teams scored55%55%
Over 2.5 goals60%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals83%1.21
Over 2.5 goals61%1.64
Over 3.5 goals39%2.58
Both teams to score58%1.74
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba or Draw39%2.57
Yokohama F. Marinos or Draw83%1.21
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to win and Over 2.511%8.92
Yokohama F. Marinos to win and Over 2.543%2.31
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba clean sheet12%8.22
Yokohama F. Marinos clean sheet35%2.85

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.0%
1-29.9%
0-29.5%
0-18.4%
1-37.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win JEF United Ichihara-Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Our prediction for JEF United Ichihara-Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos is Yokohama F. Marinos to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

What is the score prediction for JEF United Ichihara-Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-2. We expect JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to score 1.1 goals and Yokohama F. Marinos 2.1.

Will both teams score in JEF United Ichihara-Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Both teams to score has a 58% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of JEF United Ichihara-Chiba last 20 games and 11 of Yokohama F. Marinos last 20.

How are JEF United Ichihara-Chiba playing?

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba have 3 wins, 3 draws and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 41 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Yokohama F. Marinos playing?

Yokohama F. Marinos have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, D, L, newest first.

What happened when JEF United Ichihara-Chiba and Yokohama F. Marinos last met?

It ended JEF United Ichihara-Chiba 2, Yokohama F. Marinos 3. In the last 2 meetings JEF United Ichihara-Chiba won 0 and Yokohama F. Marinos won 2.

What is the best bet for JEF United Ichihara-Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.25, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in JEF Utd Chiba against Yokohama FM. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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