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Predictions › Peru › Juan Pablo II vs Deportivo Garcilaso
Peruvian Liga 1Sun 15 Nov, 20:15 Peru time

Juan Pablo II vs Deportivo Garcilaso prediction

Complejo Deportivo Juan Pablo II

Juan Pablo IIHome
1.59 : 0.94
expected goals
Deportivo GarcilasoAway
52%Juan Pablo II
27%Draw
22%Garcilaso
Eagle safe pickJuan Pablo II or Draw
1.28

Quick answer

Our prediction for Juan Pablo II vs Deportivo Garcilaso is Juan Pablo II to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Juan Pablo II or Draw at 1.28.

Prediction
Juan Pablo II to win
Chance
52%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Juan Pablo II 1.6, Deportivo Garcilaso 0.9
Best bet
Juan Pablo II or Draw at 1.28
Both teams to score
49%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Juan Pablo II or Draw
78% chanceFair price 1.282 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Juan Pablo II to win and Over 2.5
30% chanceFair price 3.381 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Juan Pablo II 52%, the draw 27% and Deportivo Garcilaso 22%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Juan Pablo II took 7 points from their last 5 games and Deportivo Garcilaso took 6 from 5. Juan Pablo II come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Juan Pablo II won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Deportivo Garcilaso won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Juan Pablo II score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.5. Deportivo Garcilaso score 1.9 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Juan Pablo II games and 10 of Deportivo Garcilaso games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Juan Pablo II won 0 and Deportivo Garcilaso won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Deportivo Garcilaso 4, Juan Pablo II 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Juan Pablo II or Draw has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Garcilasorecent form-1%
Juan Pablo II form L W L W DGarcilaso form W L W L LHome edge in this league 45% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Juan Pablo II vs Deportivo Garcilaso: Juan Pablo II are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Juan Pablo II host Deportivo Garcilaso in the Peruvian Liga 1 on Sun 15 Nov, 20:15 at Complejo Deportivo Juan Pablo II. Our prediction for Juan Pablo II vs Deportivo Garcilaso is Juan Pablo II to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Juan Pablo II or Draw at 1.28.

Juan Pablo II form

Juan Pablo II have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, D, newest first.

Deportivo Garcilaso form

Deportivo Garcilaso have 13 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Juan Pablo II won 0, Deportivo Garcilaso won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Deportivo Garcilaso 4, Juan Pablo II 1.

Our call

We expect Juan Pablo II to score about 1.6 goals and Deportivo Garcilaso about 0.9. That points to Juan Pablo II to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Juan Pablo II or Draw at 1.28. Our bold bet is Juan Pablo II to win and Over 2.5 at 3.38.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Juan Pablo IIGarcilaso
Games played2020
Wins713
Draws52
Losses85
Goals scored2938
Goals conceded3019
Scored per game1.41.9
Conceded per game1.50.9
Home record5W 3D 2L9W 0D 1L
Away record2W 2D 6L4W 2D 4L
Clean sheets25%40%
Both teams scored50%45%
Over 2.5 goals45%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals73%1.38
Over 2.5 goals46%2.15
Over 3.5 goals25%4.01
Both teams to score49%2.03
Juan Pablo II or Draw78%1.28
Deportivo Garcilaso or Draw48%2.07
Juan Pablo II to win and Over 2.530%3.36
Deportivo Garcilaso to win and Over 2.511%8.78
Juan Pablo II clean sheet39%2.57
Deportivo Garcilaso clean sheet20%4.89

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.6%
1-011.9%
2-010.0%
2-19.5%
0-08.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Juan Pablo II vs Deportivo Garcilaso?

Our prediction for Juan Pablo II vs Deportivo Garcilaso is Juan Pablo II to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Juan Pablo II or Draw at 1.28.

What is the score prediction for Juan Pablo II vs Deportivo Garcilaso?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-0. We expect Juan Pablo II to score 1.6 goals and Deportivo Garcilaso 0.9.

Will both teams score in Juan Pablo II vs Deportivo Garcilaso?

Both teams to score has a 49% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Juan Pablo II last 20 games and 9 of Deportivo Garcilaso last 20.

How are Juan Pablo II playing?

Juan Pablo II have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, D, newest first.

How are Deportivo Garcilaso playing?

Deportivo Garcilaso have 13 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Juan Pablo II and Deportivo Garcilaso last met?

It ended Deportivo Garcilaso 4, Juan Pablo II 1. In the last 2 meetings Juan Pablo II won 0 and Deportivo Garcilaso won 2.

What is the best bet for Juan Pablo II vs Deportivo Garcilaso?

Juan Pablo II or Draw at 1.28, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Juan Pablo II against Garcilaso. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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