Predictions › Peru › Juan Pablo II vs Deportivo Moquegua

Peruvian Liga 1Sun 20 Sept, 20:30 Peru time

Juan Pablo II vs Deportivo Moquegua prediction

Complejo Deportivo Juan Pablo II

Juan Pablo IIHome

1.38 : 0.75

expected goals

Deportivo MoqueguaAway

51%Juan Pablo II

29%Draw

20%Moquegua

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for Juan Pablo II vs Deportivo Moquegua is Juan Pablo II to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18.

Prediction: Juan Pablo II to win
Chance: 51%
Most likely score: 1-0
Expected goals: Juan Pablo II 1.4, Deportivo Moquegua 0.8
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1.18
Both teams to score: 40%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

85% chanceFair price 1.182 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-0

16% chanceFair price 6.351 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Juan Pablo II 51%, the draw 29% and Deportivo Moquegua 20%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Juan Pablo II took 10 points from their last 5 games and Deportivo Moquegua took 4 from 5. Juan Pablo II come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Juan Pablo II won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Deportivo Moquegua won 2 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Juan Pablo II score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.9. Deportivo Moquegua score 1.0 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Juan Pablo II games and 11 of Deportivo Moquegua games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Juan Pablo II won 0 and Deportivo Moquegua won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Deportivo Moquegua 3, Juan Pablo II 0.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Juan Pablo IIrecent form+3%
Moqueguarecent form-3%
Juan Pablo IIrest between games-5%

Juan Pablo II form W D W W LMoquegua form L L W D LHome edge in this league 43% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Juan Pablo II vs Deportivo Moquegua: Juan Pablo II are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Juan Pablo II host Deportivo Moquegua in the Peruvian Liga 1 on Sun 20 Sept, 20:30 at Complejo Deportivo Juan Pablo II. Our prediction for Juan Pablo II vs Deportivo Moquegua is Juan Pablo II to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18.

Juan Pablo II form

Juan Pablo II have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 37 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, L, newest first.

Deportivo Moquegua form

Deportivo Moquegua have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Juan Pablo II won 0, Deportivo Moquegua won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Deportivo Moquegua 3, Juan Pablo II 0.

Our call

We expect Juan Pablo II to score about 1.4 goals and Deportivo Moquegua about 0.8. That points to Juan Pablo II to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-0 at 6.35.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Juan Pablo II	Moquegua
Games played	20	20
Wins	5	5
Draws	6	6
Losses	9	9
Goals scored	27	20
Goals conceded	37	27
Scored per game	1.4	1.0
Conceded per game	1.9	1.4
Home record	3W 4D 3L	3W 5D 2L
Away record	2W 2D 6L	2W 1D 7L
Clean sheets	10%	25%
Both teams scored	65%	50%
Over 2.5 goals	55%	55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	63%	1.58
Over 2.5 goals	36%	2.80
Over 3.5 goals	17%	6.03
Both teams to score	40%	2.50
Juan Pablo II or Draw	80%	1.24
Deportivo Moquegua or Draw	49%	2.05
Juan Pablo II to win and Over 2.5	24%	4.15
Deportivo Moquegua to win and Over 2.5	8%	12.47
Juan Pablo II clean sheet	47%	2.11
Deportivo Moquegua clean sheet	25%	3.97

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-015.7%

1-113.0%

0-012.7%

2-011.4%

2-18.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Juan Pablo II vs Deportivo Moquegua?

Our prediction for Juan Pablo II vs Deportivo Moquegua is Juan Pablo II to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for Juan Pablo II vs Deportivo Moquegua?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-0. We expect Juan Pablo II to score 1.4 goals and Deportivo Moquegua 0.8.

Will both teams score in Juan Pablo II vs Deportivo Moquegua?

Both teams to score has a 40% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Juan Pablo II last 20 games and 10 of Deportivo Moquegua last 20.

How are Juan Pablo II playing?

How are Deportivo Moquegua playing?

What happened when Juan Pablo II and Deportivo Moquegua last met?

It ended Deportivo Moquegua 3, Juan Pablo II 0. In the last 1 meeting Juan Pablo II won 0 and Deportivo Moquegua won 1.

What is the best bet for Juan Pablo II vs Deportivo Moquegua?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Juan Pablo II against Moquegua. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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