Predictions › Peru › Juan Pablo II vs Sport Boys

Peruvian Liga 1Sat 17 Oct, 20:00 Peru time

Juan Pablo II vs Sport Boys prediction

Complejo Deportivo Juan Pablo II

Juan Pablo IIHome

1.65 : 0.99

expected goals

Sport BoysAway

52%Juan Pablo II

26%Draw

22%Sport Boys

Eagle safe pickJuan Pablo II or Draw

1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for Juan Pablo II vs Sport Boys is Juan Pablo II to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Juan Pablo II or Draw at 1.31.

Prediction: Juan Pablo II to win
Chance: 52%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Juan Pablo II 1.6, Sport Boys 1.0
Best bet: Juan Pablo II or Draw at 1.31
Both teams to score: 52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Juan Pablo II or Draw

76% chanceFair price 1.312 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Juan Pablo II to win and Over 2.5

31% chanceFair price 3.231 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Juan Pablo II 52%, the draw 26% and Sport Boys 22%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Juan Pablo II took 13 points from their last 5 games and Sport Boys took 10 from 5. Juan Pablo II come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Juan Pablo II won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Sport Boys won 2 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Juan Pablo II score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.7. Sport Boys score 1.3 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Juan Pablo II games and 6 of Sport Boys games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Juan Pablo II won 0 and Sport Boys won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Sport Boys 1, Juan Pablo II 1.
6
The safest bet
Juan Pablo II or Draw has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Juan Pablo IIrecent form+6%
Sport Boysrecent form+3%

Juan Pablo II form W W D W WSport Boys form D W L W WHome edge in this league 45% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Juan Pablo II vs Sport Boys: Juan Pablo II are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Juan Pablo II host Sport Boys in the Peruvian Liga 1 on Sat 17 Oct, 20:00 at Complejo Deportivo Juan Pablo II. Our prediction for Juan Pablo II vs Sport Boys is Juan Pablo II to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Juan Pablo II or Draw at 1.31.

Juan Pablo II form

Juan Pablo II have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, W, newest first.

Sport Boys form

Sport Boys have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Juan Pablo II won 0, Sport Boys won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Sport Boys 1, Juan Pablo II 1.

Our call

We expect Juan Pablo II to score about 1.6 goals and Sport Boys about 1.0. That points to Juan Pablo II to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Juan Pablo II or Draw at 1.31. Our bold bet is Juan Pablo II to win and Over 2.5 at 3.23.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Juan Pablo II	Sport Boys
Games played	20	20
Wins	6	9
Draws	6	6
Losses	8	5
Goals scored	29	26
Goals conceded	34	17
Scored per game	1.4	1.3
Conceded per game	1.7	0.8
Home record	4W 4D 2L	7W 3D 1L
Away record	2W 2D 6L	2W 3D 4L
Clean sheets	15%	50%
Both teams scored	60%	45%
Over 2.5 goals	55%	30%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	75%	1.34
Over 2.5 goals	49%	2.03
Over 3.5 goals	27%	3.65
Both teams to score	52%	1.94
Juan Pablo II or Draw	78%	1.28
Sport Boys or Draw	48%	2.09
Juan Pablo II to win and Over 2.5	31%	3.19
Sport Boys to win and Over 2.5	12%	8.20
Juan Pablo II clean sheet	37%	2.70
Sport Boys clean sheet	19%	5.22

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.3%

1-011.0%

2-09.7%

2-19.6%

0-07.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Juan Pablo II vs Sport Boys?

Our prediction for Juan Pablo II vs Sport Boys is Juan Pablo II to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Juan Pablo II or Draw at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Juan Pablo II vs Sport Boys?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-0. We expect Juan Pablo II to score 1.6 goals and Sport Boys 1.0.

Will both teams score in Juan Pablo II vs Sport Boys?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Juan Pablo II last 20 games and 9 of Sport Boys last 20.

How are Juan Pablo II playing?

How are Sport Boys playing?

What happened when Juan Pablo II and Sport Boys last met?

It ended Sport Boys 1, Juan Pablo II 1. In the last 1 meeting Juan Pablo II won 0 and Sport Boys won 0.

What is the best bet for Juan Pablo II vs Sport Boys?

Juan Pablo II or Draw at 1.31, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Juan Pablo II against Sport Boys. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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