Predictions › Peru › Juan Pablo II vs Sport Huancayo

Peruvian Liga 1Tue 27 Oct, 20:00 Peru time

Juan Pablo II vs Sport Huancayo prediction

Complejo Deportivo Juan Pablo II

Juan Pablo IIHome

1.72 : 1.17

expected goals

Sport HuancayoAway

49%Juan Pablo II

25%Draw

25%Huancayo

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.28

Quick answer

Our prediction for Juan Pablo II vs Sport Huancayo is Juan Pablo II to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

Prediction: Juan Pablo II to win
Chance: 49%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Juan Pablo II 1.7, Sport Huancayo 1.2
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.28
Both teams to score: 57%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

78% chanceFair price 1.282 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Juan Pablo II to win and Over 2.5

31% chanceFair price 3.181 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Juan Pablo II 49%, the draw 25% and Sport Huancayo 25%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Juan Pablo II took 11 points from their last 5 games and Sport Huancayo took 15 from 5. Sport Huancayo come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Juan Pablo II won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Sport Huancayo won 4 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Juan Pablo II score 1.5 goals a game and let in 1.6. Sport Huancayo score 1.6 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Juan Pablo II games and 14 of Sport Huancayo games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Juan Pablo II won 0 and Sport Huancayo won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Sport Huancayo 2, Juan Pablo II 1.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Juan Pablo IIrecent form+3%
Huancayorecent form+6%
Juan Pablo IIrest between games-5%
Huancayorest between games-5%

Juan Pablo II form D D W W DHuancayo form D W W W WHome edge in this league 43% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Juan Pablo II vs Sport Huancayo: Juan Pablo II are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Juan Pablo II host Sport Huancayo in the Peruvian Liga 1 on Tue 27 Oct, 20:00 at Complejo Deportivo Juan Pablo II. Our prediction for Juan Pablo II vs Sport Huancayo is Juan Pablo II to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

Juan Pablo II form

Juan Pablo II have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, D, newest first.

Sport Huancayo form

Sport Huancayo have 10 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Juan Pablo II won 0, Sport Huancayo won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Sport Huancayo 2, Juan Pablo II 1.

Our call

We expect Juan Pablo II to score about 1.7 goals and Sport Huancayo about 1.2. That points to Juan Pablo II to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28. Our bold bet is Juan Pablo II to win and Over 2.5 at 3.18.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Juan Pablo II	Huancayo
Games played	20	20
Wins	6	10
Draws	7	3
Losses	7	7
Goals scored	30	31
Goals conceded	32	32
Scored per game	1.5	1.6
Conceded per game	1.6	1.6
Home record	4W 4D 2L	6W 2D 1L
Away record	2W 3D 5L	4W 1D 6L
Clean sheets	20%	20%
Both teams scored	60%	75%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	79%	1.26
Over 2.5 goals	55%	1.81
Over 3.5 goals	33%	3.04
Both teams to score	57%	1.74
Juan Pablo II or Draw	75%	1.34
Sport Huancayo or Draw	51%	1.98
Juan Pablo II to win and Over 2.5	32%	3.08
Sport Huancayo to win and Over 2.5	16%	6.35
Juan Pablo II clean sheet	31%	3.23
Sport Huancayo clean sheet	18%	5.58

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.9%

2-19.6%

1-08.9%

2-08.2%

1-26.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Juan Pablo II vs Sport Huancayo?

Our prediction for Juan Pablo II vs Sport Huancayo is Juan Pablo II to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

What is the score prediction for Juan Pablo II vs Sport Huancayo?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Juan Pablo II to score 1.7 goals and Sport Huancayo 1.2.

Will both teams score in Juan Pablo II vs Sport Huancayo?

Both teams to score has a 57% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Juan Pablo II last 20 games and 15 of Sport Huancayo last 20.

How are Juan Pablo II playing?

How are Sport Huancayo playing?

What happened when Juan Pablo II and Sport Huancayo last met?

It ended Sport Huancayo 2, Juan Pablo II 1. In the last 1 meeting Juan Pablo II won 0 and Sport Huancayo won 1.

What is the best bet for Juan Pablo II vs Sport Huancayo?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.28, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Juan Pablo II against Huancayo. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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