Predictions › Italy › Juve Stabia vs Hellas Verona
Serie BWed 28 Oct, 19:00 Italy time

Juve Stabia vs Hellas Verona prediction

Romeo Menti di Castellammare

Juve StabiaHome
1.70 : 1.14
expected goals
Hellas VeronaAway
50%Juve Stabia
25%Draw
25%Verona
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.28

Quick answer

Our prediction for Juve Stabia vs Hellas Verona is Juve Stabia to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

Prediction
Juve Stabia to win
Chance
50%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Juve Stabia 1.7, Hellas Verona 1.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.28
Both teams to score
56%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
78% chanceFair price 1.282 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Juve Stabia to win and Over 2.5
31% chanceFair price 3.201 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Juve Stabia 50%, the draw 25% and Hellas Verona 25%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Juve Stabia took 6 points from their last 5 games and Hellas Verona took 7 from 5. Hellas Verona come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Juve Stabia won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Hellas Verona won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Juve Stabia score 1.2 goals a game and let in 1.3. Hellas Verona score 1.0 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Juve Stabia games and 10 of Hellas Verona games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Juve Stabiarecent form-1%
  • Juve Stabiarest between games-5%
  • Veronarest between games-2%
Juve Stabia form D D D D LVerona form D L W L WHome edge in this league 31% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Juve Stabia vs Hellas Verona: Juve Stabia are favourites

The big picture

Juve Stabia host Hellas Verona in the Serie B on Wed 28 Oct, 19:00 at Romeo Menti di Castellammare. Our prediction for Juve Stabia vs Hellas Verona is Juve Stabia to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

Juve Stabia form

Juve Stabia have 5 wins, 9 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, D, L, newest first.

Hellas Verona form

Hellas Verona have 3 wins, 5 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Juve Stabia to score about 1.7 goals and Hellas Verona about 1.1. That points to Juve Stabia to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28. Our bold bet is Juve Stabia to win and Over 2.5 at 3.20.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Juve StabiaVerona
Games played2020
Wins53
Draws95
Losses612
Goals scored2420
Goals conceded2530
Scored per game1.21.0
Conceded per game1.31.5
Home record3W 4D 2L2W 2D 7L
Away record2W 5D 4L1W 3D 5L
Clean sheets15%10%
Both teams scored65%55%
Over 2.5 goals40%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals78%1.28
Over 2.5 goals54%1.85
Over 3.5 goals32%3.16
Both teams to score56%1.78
Juve Stabia or Draw75%1.33
Hellas Verona or Draw50%1.99
Juve Stabia to win and Over 2.532%3.12
Hellas Verona to win and Over 2.515%6.65
Juve Stabia clean sheet32%3.12
Hellas Verona clean sheet18%5.47

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.0%
2-19.6%
1-09.3%
2-08.5%
0-06.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Juve Stabia vs Hellas Verona?

Our prediction for Juve Stabia vs Hellas Verona is Juve Stabia to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

What is the score prediction for Juve Stabia vs Hellas Verona?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Juve Stabia to score 1.7 goals and Hellas Verona 1.1.

Will both teams score in Juve Stabia vs Hellas Verona?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Juve Stabia last 20 games and 11 of Hellas Verona last 20.

How are Juve Stabia playing?

Juve Stabia have 5 wins, 9 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, D, L, newest first.

How are Hellas Verona playing?

Hellas Verona have 3 wins, 5 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Juve Stabia vs Hellas Verona?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.28, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Juve Stabia against Verona. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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