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Predictions › Italy › Juve Stabia vs Sudtirol
Serie BSun 18 Oct, 13:00 Italy time

Juve Stabia vs Sudtirol prediction

Romeo Menti di Castellammare

Juve StabiaHome
1.21 : 1.31
expected goals
SudtirolAway
33%Juve Stabia
28%Draw
38%Sudtirol
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.33

Quick answer

Our prediction for Juve Stabia vs Sudtirol is Sudtirol to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33.

Prediction
Sudtirol to win
Chance
38%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Juve Stabia 1.2, Sudtirol 1.3
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.33
Both teams to score
52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1.332 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.381 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Juve Stabia 33%, the draw 28% and Sudtirol 38%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Juve Stabia took 5 points from their last 5 games and Sudtirol took 11 from 5. Sudtirol come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Juve Stabia won 2 of their last 9 games at home. Sudtirol won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Juve Stabia score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.3. Sudtirol score 1.1 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Juve Stabia games and 7 of Sudtirol games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Juve Stabia won 1 and Sudtirol won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Sudtirol 1, Juve Stabia 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Juve Stabiarecent form-1%
  • Sudtirolrecent form+1%
Juve Stabia form D D L W LSudtirol form W L D W DHome edge in this league 32% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Juve Stabia vs Sudtirol: Sudtirol shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Juve Stabia host Sudtirol in the Serie B on Sun 18 Oct, 13:00 at Romeo Menti di Castellammare. Our prediction for Juve Stabia vs Sudtirol is Sudtirol to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33.

Juve Stabia form

Juve Stabia have 4 wins, 10 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, W, L, newest first.

Sudtirol form

Sudtirol have 4 wins, 9 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Juve Stabia won 1, Sudtirol won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Sudtirol 1, Juve Stabia 1.

Our call

We expect Juve Stabia to score about 1.2 goals and Sudtirol about 1.3. That points to Sudtirol to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.38.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Juve StabiaSudtirol
Games played2020
Wins44
Draws109
Losses67
Goals scored2121
Goals conceded2527
Scored per game1.11.1
Conceded per game1.31.4
Home record2W 5D 2L2W 6D 3L
Away record2W 5D 4L2W 3D 4L
Clean sheets15%30%
Both teams scored65%50%
Over 2.5 goals35%35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals72%1.38
Over 2.5 goals46%2.18
Over 3.5 goals24%4.09
Both teams to score52%1.93
Juve Stabia or Draw62%1.62
Sudtirol or Draw67%1.50
Juve Stabia to win and Over 2.518%5.41
Sudtirol to win and Over 2.521%4.67
Juve Stabia clean sheet27%3.69
Sudtirol clean sheet30%3.34

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.5%
0-19.8%
1-09.0%
0-08.9%
1-28.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Juve Stabia vs Sudtirol?

Our prediction for Juve Stabia vs Sudtirol is Sudtirol to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33.

What is the score prediction for Juve Stabia vs Sudtirol?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-0. We expect Juve Stabia to score 1.2 goals and Sudtirol 1.3.

Will both teams score in Juve Stabia vs Sudtirol?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Juve Stabia last 20 games and 10 of Sudtirol last 20.

How are Juve Stabia playing?

Juve Stabia have 4 wins, 10 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Sudtirol playing?

Sudtirol have 4 wins, 9 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, D, W, newest first.

What happened when Juve Stabia and Sudtirol last met?

It ended Sudtirol 1, Juve Stabia 1. In the last 2 meetings Juve Stabia won 1 and Sudtirol won 0.

What is the best bet for Juve Stabia vs Sudtirol?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.33, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Juve Stabia against Sudtirol. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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