Predictions › Italy › Juventus vs Lazio

Serie ASun 18 Oct, 18:45 Italy time

Juventus vs Lazio prediction

Allianz Stadium

JuventusHome

1.50 : 0.87

expected goals

LazioAway

51%Juventus

28%Draw

21%Lazio

Eagle safe pickJuventus or Draw

1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Juventus vs Lazio is Juventus to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Juventus or Draw at 1.30.

Prediction: Juventus to win
Chance: 51%
Most likely score: 1-0
Expected goals: Juventus 1.5, Lazio 0.9
Best bet: Juventus or Draw at 1.30
Both teams to score: 46%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Juventus or Draw

77% chanceFair price 1.302 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

A Draw

27% chancePrice 3.651 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Juventus 51%, the draw 28% and Lazio 21%. The bookmakers agree and make Juventus the favourite at 1.59.
2
Recent form
Juventus took 10 points from their last 5 games and Lazio took 13 from 5. Lazio come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Juventus won 7 of their last 12 games at home. Lazio won 6 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Juventus score 1.7 goals a game and let in 0.8. Lazio score 1.3 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of Juventus games and 8 of Lazio games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Juventus won 0 and Lazio won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Juventus 2, Lazio 2.
6
The safest bet
Juventus or Draw has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Juventusrecent form+3%
Laziorecent form+6%

Juventus form W W L D WLazio form W D W W WHome edge in this league 11% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Juventus vs Lazio: Juventus are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Juventus host Lazio in the Serie A on Sun 18 Oct, 18:45 at Allianz Stadium. Our prediction for Juventus vs Lazio is Juventus to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Juventus or Draw at 1.30.

Juventus form

Juventus have 11 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, D, W, newest first.

Lazio form

Lazio have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Juventus won 0, Lazio won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Juventus 2, Lazio 2.

Our call

We expect Juventus to score about 1.5 goals and Lazio about 0.9. That points to Juventus to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Juventus or Draw at 1.30. Our bold bet is A Draw at 3.65.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Juventus	Lazio
Games played	20	20
Wins	11	10
Draws	6	5
Losses	3	5
Goals scored	34	25
Goals conceded	17	22
Scored per game	1.7	1.3
Conceded per game	0.8	1.1
Home record	7W 3D 2L	4W 3D 2L
Away record	4W 3D 1L	6W 2D 3L
Clean sheets	55%	35%
Both teams scored	35%	40%
Over 2.5 goals	30%	40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Juventus to win	48%	2.10	1.59	-24.3%
A Draw	27%	3.68	3.65	-0.9%
Lazio to win	21%	4.81	4.90	+1.9%
Over 2.5 goals	44%	2.27	1.87	-17.5%
Under 2.5 goals	49%	2.04	1.83	-9.9%
Juventus -0.5	52%	1.92	1.57	-18.3%
Lazio +0.5	41%	2.42	2.15	-11.3%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	69%	1.44
Over 2.5 goals	42%	2.37
Over 3.5 goals	22%	4.65
Both teams to score	46%	2.18
Juventus or Draw	79%	1.27
Lazio or Draw	49%	2.04
Juventus to win and Over 2.5	27%	3.65
Lazio to win and Over 2.5	10%	9.76
Juventus clean sheet	42%	2.40
Lazio clean sheet	22%	4.47

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-013.3%

1-113.0%

2-010.5%

0-010.1%

2-19.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Bundesliga

Big Clubs Battle for Juventus Winger Kenan Yildiz

Arsenal, Real Madrid, and Bayern Munich are all chasing Juventus winger Kenan Yildiz as transfer rumors heat up across Europe.

4 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Juventus vs Lazio?

Our prediction for Juventus vs Lazio is Juventus to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Juventus or Draw at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Juventus vs Lazio?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 2-0. We expect Juventus to score 1.5 goals and Lazio 0.9.

Will both teams score in Juventus vs Lazio?

Both teams to score has a 46% chance. Both sides scored in 7 of Juventus last 20 games and 8 of Lazio last 20.

How are Juventus playing?

How are Lazio playing?

What happened when Juventus and Lazio last met?

It ended Juventus 2, Lazio 2. In the last 2 meetings Juventus won 0 and Lazio won 1.

What is the best bet for Juventus vs Lazio?

Juventus or Draw at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Juventus against Lazio. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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