Predictions › Italy › Juventus vs Napoli

Serie ASun 1 Nov, 19:45 Italy time

Juventus vs Napoli prediction

Allianz Stadium

JuventusHome

1.20 : 0.95

expected goals

NapoliAway

41%Juventus

31%Draw

28%Napoli

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for Juventus vs Napoli is Juventus to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

Prediction: Juventus to win
Chance: 41%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Juventus 1.2, Napoli 0.9
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1.21
Both teams to score: 44%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

83% chanceFair price 1.212 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

14% chanceFair price 7.101 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Juventus 41%, the draw 31% and Napoli 28%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Juventus took 8 points from their last 5 games and Napoli took 7 from 5. Juventus come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Juventus won 5 of their last 11 games at home. Napoli won 3 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Juventus score 1.4 goals a game and let in 0.8. Napoli score 1.5 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of Juventus games and 9 of Napoli games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Juventus won 1 and Napoli won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Juventus 3, Napoli 0.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Juventusrecent form+1%
Napolirecent form-1%
Juventusrest between games-5%
Napolirest between games-2%

Juventus form D L W D WNapoli form D L L W DHome edge in this league 12% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Juventus vs Napoli: Juventus shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Juventus host Napoli in the Serie A on Sun 1 Nov, 19:45 at Allianz Stadium. Our prediction for Juventus vs Napoli is Juventus to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

Juventus form

Juventus have 10 wins, 7 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, D, W, newest first.

Napoli form

Napoli have 10 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Juventus won 1, Napoli won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Juventus 3, Napoli 0.

Our call

We expect Juventus to score about 1.2 goals and Napoli about 0.9. That points to Juventus to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.10.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Juventus	Napoli
Games played	20	20
Wins	10	10
Draws	7	3
Losses	3	7
Goals scored	29	30
Goals conceded	17	21
Scored per game	1.4	1.5
Conceded per game	0.8	1.1
Home record	5W 4D 2L	7W 0D 4L
Away record	5W 3D 1L	3W 3D 3L
Clean sheets	50%	45%
Both teams scored	40%	40%
Over 2.5 goals	30%	45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	64%	1.56
Over 2.5 goals	36%	2.76
Over 3.5 goals	17%	5.88
Both teams to score	44%	2.30
Juventus or Draw	72%	1.39
Napoli or Draw	59%	1.69
Juventus to win and Over 2.5	19%	5.18
Napoli to win and Over 2.5	13%	7.88
Juventus clean sheet	39%	2.58
Napoli clean sheet	30%	3.31

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.1%

1-013.2%

0-012.5%

0-110.3%

2-08.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

LaLiga

Real Madrid Eye Scott McTominay as Napoli Contract Talks Stall

Real Madrid are monitoring Scott McTominay while Chelsea eye Frenkie de Jong ahead of the January transfer window.

9 Oct 2026

Bundesliga

Big Clubs Battle for Juventus Winger Kenan Yildiz

Arsenal, Real Madrid, and Bayern Munich are all chasing Juventus winger Kenan Yildiz as transfer rumors heat up across Europe.

4 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Juventus vs Napoli?

Our prediction for Juventus vs Napoli is Juventus to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for Juventus vs Napoli?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Juventus to score 1.2 goals and Napoli 0.9.

Will both teams score in Juventus vs Napoli?

Both teams to score has a 44% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Juventus last 20 games and 8 of Napoli last 20.

How are Juventus playing?

How are Napoli playing?

What happened when Juventus and Napoli last met?

It ended Juventus 3, Napoli 0. In the last 2 meetings Juventus won 1 and Napoli won 1.

What is the best bet for Juventus vs Napoli?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.21, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Juventus against Napoli. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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