Predictions › Europa League › Juventus vs Stade Rennais
Europa LeagueThu 22 Oct, 16:45 UTC

Juventus vs Stade Rennais prediction

Allianz Stadium

JuventusHome
2.04 : 0.97
expected goals
Stade RennaisAway
62%Juventus
22%Draw
17%Rennes
Eagle safe pickJuventus or Draw
1.23

Quick answer

Our prediction for Juventus vs Stade Rennais is Juventus to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Juventus or Draw at 1.23.

Prediction
Juventus to win
Chance
62%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Juventus 2.0, Stade Rennais 1.0
Best bet
Juventus or Draw at 1.23
Both teams to score
55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Juventus or Draw
81% chanceFair price 1.232 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Juventus to win and Over 2.5
41% chanceFair price 2.441 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Juventus 62%, the draw 22% and Stade Rennais 17%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Juventus took 8 points from their last 5 games and Stade Rennais took 10 from 5. Stade Rennais come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Juventus won 7 of their last 11 games at home. Stade Rennais won 5 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Juventus score 1.8 goals a game and let in 0.8. Stade Rennais score 2.0 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of Juventus games and 16 of Stade Rennais games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Juventus or Draw has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Juventusrecent form+1%
  • Rennesrecent form+1%
  • Juventusrest between games-5%
  • Rennesrest between games-5%
Juventus form D W W L DRennes form D L D W WHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Juventus vs Stade Rennais: Juventus are favourites

The big picture

Juventus host Stade Rennais in the Europa League on Thu 22 Oct, 16:45 at Allianz Stadium. Our prediction for Juventus vs Stade Rennais is Juventus to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Juventus or Draw at 1.23.

Juventus form

Juventus have 11 wins, 7 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 16 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, L, D, newest first.

Stade Rennais form

Stade Rennais have 13 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Juventus to score about 2.0 goals and Stade Rennais about 1.0. That points to Juventus to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Juventus or Draw at 1.23. Our bold bet is Juventus to win and Over 2.5 at 2.44.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

JuventusRennes
Games played2020
Wins1113
Draws73
Losses24
Goals scored3540
Goals conceded1626
Scored per game1.82.0
Conceded per game0.81.3
Home record7W 3D 1L8W 2D 1L
Away record4W 4D 1L5W 1D 3L
Clean sheets55%35%
Both teams scored40%60%
Over 2.5 goals30%80%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals81%1.24
Over 2.5 goals58%1.73
Over 3.5 goals36%2.82
Both teams to score55%1.83
Juventus or Draw83%1.20
Stade Rennais or Draw38%2.60
Juventus to win and Over 2.542%2.39
Stade Rennais to win and Over 2.510%9.94
Juventus clean sheet38%2.64
Stade Rennais clean sheet13%7.70

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.3%
2-010.3%
2-19.9%
1-09.5%
3-07.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Juventus vs Stade Rennais?

Our prediction for Juventus vs Stade Rennais is Juventus to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Juventus or Draw at 1.23.

What is the score prediction for Juventus vs Stade Rennais?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 2-1. We expect Juventus to score 2.0 goals and Stade Rennais 1.0.

Will both teams score in Juventus vs Stade Rennais?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Juventus last 20 games and 12 of Stade Rennais last 20.

How are Juventus playing?

Juventus have 11 wins, 7 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 16 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, L, D, newest first.

How are Stade Rennais playing?

Stade Rennais have 13 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Juventus vs Stade Rennais?

Juventus or Draw at 1.23, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Juventus against Rennes. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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