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Predictions › Belgium › KAA Gent vs Anderlecht
Belgian Pro LeagueSun 25 Oct, 17:30 Belgium time

KAA Gent vs Anderlecht prediction

Ghelamco Arena

KAA GentHome
1.62 : 0.84
expected goals
AnderlechtAway
55%KAA Gent
26%Draw
19%Anderlecht
Eagle safe pickKAA Gent or Draw
1.25

Quick answer

Our prediction for KAA Gent vs Anderlecht is KAA Gent to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is KAA Gent or Draw at 1.25.

Prediction
KAA Gent to win
Chance
55%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
KAA Gent 1.6, Anderlecht 0.8
Best bet
KAA Gent or Draw at 1.25
Both teams to score
46%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

KAA Gent or Draw
80% chanceFair price 1.252 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

KAA Gent to win and Over 2.5
29% chanceFair price 3.471 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives KAA Gent 55%, the draw 26% and Anderlecht 19%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    KAA Gent took 13 points from their last 5 games and Anderlecht took 9 from 5. KAA Gent come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    KAA Gent won 5 of their last 11 games at home. Anderlecht won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    KAA Gent score 1.1 goals a game and let in 0.9. Anderlecht score 1.3 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of KAA Gent games and 13 of Anderlecht games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, KAA Gent won 1 and Anderlecht won 2 with 1 draw. The last one ended KAA Gent 1, Anderlecht 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    KAA Gent or Draw has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • KAA Gentrecent form+4%
  • Anderlechtrecent form+3%
  • KAA Gentrest between games-5%
KAA Gent form D W W D WAnderlecht form D W W L WHome edge in this league 16% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

KAA Gent vs Anderlecht: KAA Gent are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

KAA Gent host Anderlecht in the Belgian Pro League on Sun 25 Oct, 17:30 at Ghelamco Arena. Our prediction for KAA Gent vs Anderlecht is KAA Gent to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is KAA Gent or Draw at 1.25.

KAA Gent form

KAA Gent have 8 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, W, newest first.

Anderlecht form

Anderlecht have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. KAA Gent won 1, Anderlecht won 2 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished KAA Gent 1, Anderlecht 1.

Our call

We expect KAA Gent to score about 1.6 goals and Anderlecht about 0.8. That points to KAA Gent to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is KAA Gent or Draw at 1.25. Our bold bet is KAA Gent to win and Over 2.5 at 3.47.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

KAA GentAnderlecht
Games played2020
Wins88
Draws83
Losses49
Goals scored2126
Goals conceded1932
Scored per game1.11.3
Conceded per game0.91.6
Home record5W 5D 1L5W 2D 3L
Away record3W 3D 3L3W 1D 6L
Clean sheets40%20%
Both teams scored45%60%
Over 2.5 goals30%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals71%1.40
Over 2.5 goals45%2.24
Over 3.5 goals23%4.27
Both teams to score46%2.16
KAA Gent or Draw81%1.23
Anderlecht or Draw45%2.24
KAA Gent to win and Over 2.531%3.24
Anderlecht to win and Over 2.59%10.94
KAA Gent clean sheet43%2.31
Anderlecht clean sheet20%5.07

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-013.2%
1-112.3%
2-011.2%
2-19.4%
0-09.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win KAA Gent vs Anderlecht?

Our prediction for KAA Gent vs Anderlecht is KAA Gent to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is KAA Gent or Draw at 1.25.

What is the score prediction for KAA Gent vs Anderlecht?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 2-0. We expect KAA Gent to score 1.6 goals and Anderlecht 0.8.

Will both teams score in KAA Gent vs Anderlecht?

Both teams to score has a 46% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of KAA Gent last 20 games and 12 of Anderlecht last 20.

How are KAA Gent playing?

KAA Gent have 8 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, W, newest first.

How are Anderlecht playing?

Anderlecht have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when KAA Gent and Anderlecht last met?

It ended KAA Gent 1, Anderlecht 1. In the last 4 meetings KAA Gent won 1 and Anderlecht won 2.

What is the best bet for KAA Gent vs Anderlecht?

KAA Gent or Draw at 1.25, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in KAA Gent against Anderlecht. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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