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Predictions › Belgium › KAA Gent vs KV Kortrijk
Belgian Pro LeagueSun 8 Nov, 15:00 Belgium time

KAA Gent vs KV Kortrijk prediction

Ghelamco Arena

KAA GentHome
2.11 : 0.48
expected goals
KV KortrijkAway
75%KAA Gent
18%Draw
7%KV Kortrijk
Eagle safe pickKAA Gent to win
1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for KAA Gent vs KV Kortrijk is KAA Gent to win, with a 75% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is KAA Gent to win at 1.31.

Prediction
KAA Gent to win
Chance
75%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
KAA Gent 2.1, KV Kortrijk 0.5
Best bet
KAA Gent to win at 1.31
Both teams to score
34%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

KAA Gent to win
76% chanceFair price 1.312 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

KAA Gent to win and Over 2.5
42% chanceFair price 2.381 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives KAA Gent 75%, the draw 18% and KV Kortrijk 7%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    KAA Gent took 12 points from their last 5 games and KV Kortrijk took 3 from 5. KAA Gent come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    KAA Gent won 6 of their last 11 games at home. KV Kortrijk won 0 of their last 4 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    KAA Gent score 1.1 goals a game and let in 0.8. KV Kortrijk score 0.3 and let in 2.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of KAA Gent games and 5 of KV Kortrijk games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    KAA Gent to win has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • KAA Gentrecent form+3%
  • KV Kortrijkrecent form-3%
KAA Gent form D L W W WKV Kortrijk form D W L L LHome edge in this league 18% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

KAA Gent vs KV Kortrijk: KAA Gent are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

KAA Gent host KV Kortrijk in the Belgian Pro League on Sun 8 Nov, 15:00 at Ghelamco Arena. Our prediction for KAA Gent vs KV Kortrijk is KAA Gent to win, with a 75% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is KAA Gent to win at 1.31.

KAA Gent form

KAA Gent have 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

KV Kortrijk form

KV Kortrijk have 1 win, 0 draws and 7 losses in their last 8 games, with 2 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect KAA Gent to score about 2.1 goals and KV Kortrijk about 0.5. That points to KAA Gent to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is KAA Gent to win at 1.31. Our bold bet is KAA Gent to win and Over 2.5 at 2.38.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

KAA GentKV Kortrijk
Games played208
Wins91
Draws70
Losses47
Goals scored232
Goals conceded1718
Scored per game1.10.3
Conceded per game0.82.3
Home record6W 4D 1L1W 0D 3L
Away record3W 3D 3L0W 0D 4L
Clean sheets45%13%
Both teams scored35%13%
Over 2.5 goals30%63%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals74%1.36
Over 2.5 goals48%2.08
Over 3.5 goals26%3.81
Both teams to score34%2.94
KAA Gent or Draw93%1.07
KV Kortrijk or Draw25%4.03
KAA Gent to win and Over 2.543%2.32
KV Kortrijk to win and Over 2.53%37.26
KAA Gent clean sheet62%1.62
KV Kortrijk clean sheet12%8.28

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-016.7%
1-015.3%
3-011.8%
1-18.0%
2-18.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win KAA Gent vs KV Kortrijk?

Our prediction for KAA Gent vs KV Kortrijk is KAA Gent to win, with a 75% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is KAA Gent to win at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for KAA Gent vs KV Kortrijk?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 3-0. We expect KAA Gent to score 2.1 goals and KV Kortrijk 0.5.

Will both teams score in KAA Gent vs KV Kortrijk?

Both teams to score has a 34% chance. Both sides scored in 7 of KAA Gent last 20 games and 1 of KV Kortrijk last 8.

How are KAA Gent playing?

KAA Gent have 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are KV Kortrijk playing?

KV Kortrijk have 1 win, 0 draws and 7 losses in their last 8 games, with 2 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for KAA Gent vs KV Kortrijk?

KAA Gent to win at 1.31, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in KAA Gent against KV Kortrijk. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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