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Predictions › Germany › Kaiserslautern vs Dynamo Dresden
2. BundesligaSun 22 Nov, 12:30 Germany time

Kaiserslautern vs Dynamo Dresden prediction

Fritz-Walter Stadion

KaiserslauternHome
1.76 : 1.16
expected goals
Dynamo DresdenAway
51%Kaiserslautern
25%Draw
25%D Dresden
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.26

Quick answer

Our prediction for Kaiserslautern vs Dynamo Dresden is Kaiserslautern to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26.

Prediction
Kaiserslautern to win
Chance
51%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Kaiserslautern 1.8, Dynamo Dresden 1.2
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.26
Both teams to score
58%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
79% chanceFair price 1.262 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Kaiserslautern to win and Over 2.5
33% chanceFair price 3.041 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Kaiserslautern 51%, the draw 25% and Dynamo Dresden 25%. The bookmakers agree and make Kaiserslautern the favourite at 1.95.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Kaiserslautern took 10 points from their last 5 games and Dynamo Dresden took 7 from 5. Kaiserslautern come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Kaiserslautern won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Dynamo Dresden won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Kaiserslautern score 1.0 goals a game and let in 0.8. Dynamo Dresden score 1.6 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Kaiserslautern games and 13 of Dynamo Dresden games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Kaiserslautern won 1 and Dynamo Dresden won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Dynamo Dresden 1, Kaiserslautern 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Kaiserslauternrecent form+4%
  • D Dresdenrecent form+1%
Kaiserslautern form W L W W WD Dresden form W L W L WHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Kaiserslautern vs Dynamo Dresden: Kaiserslautern are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Kaiserslautern host Dynamo Dresden in the 2. Bundesliga on Sun 22 Nov, 12:30 at Fritz-Walter Stadion. Our prediction for Kaiserslautern vs Dynamo Dresden is Kaiserslautern to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26.

Kaiserslautern form

Kaiserslautern have 11 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 16 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, D, newest first.

Dynamo Dresden form

Dynamo Dresden have 8 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Kaiserslautern won 1, Dynamo Dresden won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Dynamo Dresden 1, Kaiserslautern 0.

Our call

We expect Kaiserslautern to score about 1.8 goals and Dynamo Dresden about 1.2. That points to Kaiserslautern to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26. Our bold bet is Kaiserslautern to win and Over 2.5 at 3.04.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

KaiserslauternD Dresden
Games played2020
Wins118
Draws32
Losses610
Goals scored2031
Goals conceded1629
Scored per game1.01.6
Conceded per game0.81.4
Home record6W 1D 2L7W 0D 3L
Away record5W 2D 4L1W 2D 7L
Clean sheets65%35%
Both teams scored5%50%
Over 2.5 goals40%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Kaiserslautern to win47%2.131.95-8.2%
A Draw24%4.133.65-11.6%
Dynamo Dresden to win24%4.173.35-19.7%
Over 2.5 goals51%1.971.65-16.4%
Under 2.5 goals42%2.362.05-13.1%
Kaiserslautern -0.546%2.181.87-14.4%
Dynamo Dresden +0.547%2.111.74-17.4%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals79%1.26
Over 2.5 goals56%1.79
Over 3.5 goals33%2.99
Both teams to score58%1.74
Kaiserslautern or Draw75%1.33
Dynamo Dresden or Draw49%2.02
Kaiserslautern to win and Over 2.533%2.99
Dynamo Dresden to win and Over 2.515%6.53
Kaiserslautern clean sheet31%3.20
Dynamo Dresden clean sheet17%5.78

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.7%
2-19.7%
1-08.8%
2-08.3%
1-26.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Kaiserslautern vs Dynamo Dresden?

Our prediction for Kaiserslautern vs Dynamo Dresden is Kaiserslautern to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26.

What is the score prediction for Kaiserslautern vs Dynamo Dresden?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Kaiserslautern to score 1.8 goals and Dynamo Dresden 1.2.

Will both teams score in Kaiserslautern vs Dynamo Dresden?

Both teams to score has a 58% chance. Both sides scored in 1 of Kaiserslautern last 20 games and 10 of Dynamo Dresden last 20.

How are Kaiserslautern playing?

Kaiserslautern have 11 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 16 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, D, newest first.

How are Dynamo Dresden playing?

Dynamo Dresden have 8 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Kaiserslautern and Dynamo Dresden last met?

It ended Dynamo Dresden 1, Kaiserslautern 0. In the last 2 meetings Kaiserslautern won 1 and Dynamo Dresden won 1.

What is the best bet for Kaiserslautern vs Dynamo Dresden?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.26, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Kaiserslautern against D Dresden. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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