Predictions › Germany › Kaiserslautern vs Hertha Berlin
2. BundesligaSat 31 Oct, 12:00 Germany time

Kaiserslautern vs Hertha Berlin prediction

Fritz-Walter Stadion

KaiserslauternHome
1.54 : 1.25
expected goals
Hertha BerlinAway
43%Kaiserslautern
26%Draw
30%Hertha
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.29

Quick answer

Our prediction for Kaiserslautern vs Hertha Berlin is Kaiserslautern to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29.

Prediction
Kaiserslautern to win
Chance
43%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Kaiserslautern 1.5, Hertha Berlin 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.29
Both teams to score
57%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.292 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Kaiserslautern to win and Over 2.5
26% chanceFair price 3.821 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Kaiserslautern 43%, the draw 26% and Hertha Berlin 30%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Kaiserslautern took 10 points from their last 5 games and Hertha Berlin took 13 from 5. Hertha Berlin come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Kaiserslautern won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Hertha Berlin won 7 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Kaiserslautern score 1.2 goals a game and let in 1.0. Hertha Berlin score 1.8 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Kaiserslautern games and 12 of Hertha Berlin games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Kaiserslautern won 1 and Hertha Berlin won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Hertha Berlin 0, Kaiserslautern 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Kaiserslauternrecent form+1%
  • Hertharecent form+6%
Kaiserslautern form D D W L WHertha form D W W W WHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Kaiserslautern vs Hertha Berlin: Kaiserslautern shade it

The big picture

Kaiserslautern host Hertha Berlin in the 2. Bundesliga on Sat 31 Oct, 12:00 at Fritz-Walter Stadion. Our prediction for Kaiserslautern vs Hertha Berlin is Kaiserslautern to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29.

Kaiserslautern form

Kaiserslautern have 10 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, W, newest first.

Hertha Berlin form

Hertha Berlin have 12 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Kaiserslautern won 1, Hertha Berlin won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Hertha Berlin 0, Kaiserslautern 1.

Our call

We expect Kaiserslautern to score about 1.5 goals and Hertha Berlin about 1.3. That points to Kaiserslautern to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29. Our bold bet is Kaiserslautern to win and Over 2.5 at 3.82.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

KaiserslauternHertha
Games played2020
Wins1012
Draws33
Losses75
Goals scored2436
Goals conceded2029
Scored per game1.21.8
Conceded per game1.01.4
Home record6W 1D 2L5W 1D 2L
Away record4W 2D 5L7W 2D 3L
Clean sheets55%15%
Both teams scored20%70%
Over 2.5 goals50%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals77%1.29
Over 2.5 goals53%1.89
Over 3.5 goals31%3.27
Both teams to score57%1.76
Kaiserslautern or Draw70%1.43
Hertha Berlin or Draw57%1.77
Kaiserslautern to win and Over 2.527%3.65
Hertha Berlin to win and Over 2.518%5.43
Kaiserslautern clean sheet29%3.49
Hertha Berlin clean sheet21%4.67

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.5%
2-19.1%
1-08.8%
1-27.4%
2-07.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Kaiserslautern vs Hertha Berlin?

Our prediction for Kaiserslautern vs Hertha Berlin is Kaiserslautern to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29.

What is the score prediction for Kaiserslautern vs Hertha Berlin?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Kaiserslautern to score 1.5 goals and Hertha Berlin 1.3.

Will both teams score in Kaiserslautern vs Hertha Berlin?

Both teams to score has a 57% chance. Both sides scored in 4 of Kaiserslautern last 20 games and 14 of Hertha Berlin last 20.

How are Kaiserslautern playing?

Kaiserslautern have 10 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Hertha Berlin playing?

Hertha Berlin have 12 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Kaiserslautern and Hertha Berlin last met?

It ended Hertha Berlin 0, Kaiserslautern 1. In the last 2 meetings Kaiserslautern won 1 and Hertha Berlin won 1.

What is the best bet for Kaiserslautern vs Hertha Berlin?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.29, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Kaiserslautern against Hertha. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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