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Predictions › South Africa › Kaizer Chiefs vs Stellenbosch
South African PremiershipTue 13 Oct, 19:30 South Africa time

Kaizer Chiefs vs Stellenbosch prediction

FNB Stadium

Kaizer ChiefsHome
1.09 : 0.83
expected goals
StellenboschAway
40%Kaizer Chiefs
33%Draw
27%Stellenbosch
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for Kaizer Chiefs vs Stellenbosch is Kaizer Chiefs to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18.

Prediction
Kaizer Chiefs to win
Chance
40%
Most likely score
0-0
Expected goals
Kaizer Chiefs 1.1, Stellenbosch 0.8
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.18
Both teams to score
38%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
85% chanceFair price 1.182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-0
15% chanceFair price 6.461 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Kaizer Chiefs 40%, the draw 33% and Stellenbosch 27%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Kaizer Chiefs took 7 points from their last 5 games and Stellenbosch took 8 from 5. Stellenbosch come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Kaizer Chiefs won 5 of their last 7 games at home. Stellenbosch won 1 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Kaizer Chiefs score 1.4 goals a game and let in 0.8. Stellenbosch score 1.0 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of Kaizer Chiefs games and 5 of Stellenbosch games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Kaizer Chiefs won 0 and Stellenbosch won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Kaizer Chiefs 1, Stellenbosch 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Kaizer Chiefsrecent form+1%
  • Stellenboschrecent form+1%
Kaizer Chiefs form D D W D DStellenbosch form W D D L WHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Kaizer Chiefs vs Stellenbosch: Kaizer Chiefs shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Kaizer Chiefs host Stellenbosch in the South African Premiership on Tue 13 Oct, 19:30 at FNB Stadium. Our prediction for Kaizer Chiefs vs Stellenbosch is Kaizer Chiefs to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18.

Kaizer Chiefs form

Kaizer Chiefs have 10 wins, 7 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 15 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 7. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, D, D, newest first.

Stellenbosch form

Stellenbosch have 6 wins, 9 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 7 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Kaizer Chiefs won 0, Stellenbosch won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Kaizer Chiefs 1, Stellenbosch 2.

Our call

We expect Kaizer Chiefs to score about 1.1 goals and Stellenbosch about 0.8. That points to Kaizer Chiefs to win, with 0-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-0 at 6.46.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Kaizer ChiefsStellenbosch
Games played2020
Wins106
Draws79
Losses35
Goals scored2920
Goals conceded1517
Scored per game1.41.0
Conceded per game0.80.8
Home record5W 1D 1L5W 2D 2L
Away record5W 6D 2L1W 7D 3L
Clean sheets40%35%
Both teams scored45%45%
Over 2.5 goals25%25%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals58%1.73
Over 2.5 goals30%3.32
Over 3.5 goals13%7.79
Both teams to score38%2.62
Kaizer Chiefs or Draw73%1.37
Stellenbosch or Draw60%1.68
Kaizer Chiefs to win and Over 2.516%6.06
Stellenbosch to win and Over 2.510%9.70
Kaizer Chiefs clean sheet44%2.30
Stellenbosch clean sheet34%2.96

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-015.5%
1-015.2%
1-114.1%
0-111.4%
2-08.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Kaizer Chiefs vs Stellenbosch?

Our prediction for Kaizer Chiefs vs Stellenbosch is Kaizer Chiefs to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for Kaizer Chiefs vs Stellenbosch?

0-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 1-1. We expect Kaizer Chiefs to score 1.1 goals and Stellenbosch 0.8.

Will both teams score in Kaizer Chiefs vs Stellenbosch?

Both teams to score has a 38% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Kaizer Chiefs last 20 games and 9 of Stellenbosch last 20.

How are Kaizer Chiefs playing?

Kaizer Chiefs have 10 wins, 7 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 15 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 7. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, D, D, newest first.

How are Stellenbosch playing?

Stellenbosch have 6 wins, 9 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 7 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Kaizer Chiefs and Stellenbosch last met?

It ended Kaizer Chiefs 1, Stellenbosch 2. In the last 1 meeting Kaizer Chiefs won 0 and Stellenbosch won 1.

What is the best bet for Kaizer Chiefs vs Stellenbosch?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Kaizer Chiefs against Stellenbosch. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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