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Predictions › Greece › Kalamata vs Iraklis
Greek Super LeagueMon 2 Nov, 17:30 Greece time

Kalamata vs Iraklis prediction

Dimotiko Gipedo Neapolis Nikaias

KalamataHome
1.76 : 1.31
expected goals
IraklisAway
47%Kalamata
25%Draw
28%Iraklis
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.23

Quick answer

Our prediction for Kalamata vs Iraklis is Kalamata to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

Prediction
Kalamata to win
Chance
47%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Kalamata 1.8, Iraklis 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.23
Both teams to score
61%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
81% chanceFair price 1.232 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Kalamata to win and Over 2.5
32% chanceFair price 3.161 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Kalamata 47%, the draw 25% and Iraklis 28%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Kalamata took 10 points from their last 5 games and Iraklis took 8 from 5. Kalamata come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Kalamata won 2 of their last 4 games at home. Iraklis won 1 of their last 5 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Kalamata score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.7. Iraklis score 1.0 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of Kalamata games and 2 of Iraklis games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Kalamatarecent form+1%
  • Iraklisrecent form+3%
Kalamata form D W L W DIraklis form D W D D WHome edge in this league 26% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Kalamata vs Iraklis: Kalamata are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Kalamata host Iraklis in the Greek Super League on Mon 2 Nov, 17:30 at Dimotiko Gipedo Neapolis Nikaias. Our prediction for Kalamata vs Iraklis is Kalamata to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

Kalamata form

Kalamata have 3 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 7 games, with 13 goals scored and 12 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, D, newest first.

Iraklis form

Iraklis have 2 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 7 games, with 7 goals scored and 8 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, D, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Kalamata to score about 1.8 goals and Iraklis about 1.3. That points to Kalamata to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23. Our bold bet is Kalamata to win and Over 2.5 at 3.16.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 7 games in all competitions.

KalamataIraklis
Games played77
Wins32
Draws13
Losses32
Goals scored137
Goals conceded128
Scored per game1.91.0
Conceded per game1.71.1
Home record2W 0D 2L1W 1D 0L
Away record1W 1D 1L1W 2D 2L
Clean sheets0%43%
Both teams scored71%43%
Over 2.5 goals57%29%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals82%1.22
Over 2.5 goals59%1.69
Over 3.5 goals37%2.72
Both teams to score61%1.64
Kalamata or Draw72%1.39
Iraklis or Draw53%1.90
Kalamata to win and Over 2.533%3.06
Iraklis to win and Over 2.518%5.42
Kalamata clean sheet27%3.69
Iraklis clean sheet17%5.80

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.4%
2-19.4%
1-07.6%
2-07.2%
1-27.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Kalamata vs Iraklis?

Our prediction for Kalamata vs Iraklis is Kalamata to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

What is the score prediction for Kalamata vs Iraklis?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Kalamata to score 1.8 goals and Iraklis 1.3.

Will both teams score in Kalamata vs Iraklis?

Both teams to score has a 61% chance. Both sides scored in 5 of Kalamata last 7 games and 3 of Iraklis last 7.

How are Kalamata playing?

Kalamata have 3 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 7 games, with 13 goals scored and 12 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, D, newest first.

How are Iraklis playing?

Iraklis have 2 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 7 games, with 7 goals scored and 8 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, D, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Kalamata vs Iraklis?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.23, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Kalamata against Iraklis. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
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