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Predictions › Greece › Kalamata vs Panathinaikos
Greek Super LeagueSun 20 Sept, 16:30 Greece time

Kalamata vs Panathinaikos prediction

Dimotiko Gipedo Neapolis Nikaias

KalamataHome
0.96 : 1.62
expected goals
PanathinaikosAway
22%Kalamata
26%Draw
52%Panathinaikos
Eagle safe pickPanathinaikos or Draw
1.26

Quick answer

Our prediction for Kalamata vs Panathinaikos is Panathinaikos to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Panathinaikos or Draw at 1.26.

Prediction
Panathinaikos to win
Chance
52%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Kalamata 1.0, Panathinaikos 1.6
Best bet
Panathinaikos or Draw at 1.26
Both teams to score
50%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Panathinaikos or Draw
80% chanceFair price 1.262 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Panathinaikos to win and Over 2.5
29% chanceFair price 3.451 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Kalamata 22%, the draw 26% and Panathinaikos 52%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Kalamata took 1 point from their last 3 games and Panathinaikos took 10 from 5. Panathinaikos come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Goals

    Kalamata score 1.0 goals a game and let in 2.0. Panathinaikos score 1.6 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of Kalamata games and 10 of Panathinaikos games in that run.

  4. 4
    The safest bet

    Panathinaikos or Draw has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Kalamatarecent form-5%
  • Panathinaikosrecent form+6%
  • Panathinaikosrest between games-2%
Kalamata form D L LPanathinaikos form W W W W DHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Kalamata vs Panathinaikos: Panathinaikos are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Kalamata host Panathinaikos in the Greek Super League on Sun 20 Sept, 16:30 at Dimotiko Gipedo Neapolis Nikaias. Our prediction for Kalamata vs Panathinaikos is Panathinaikos to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Panathinaikos or Draw at 1.26.

Kalamata form

Kalamata have 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 3 games, with 3 goals scored and 6 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 1. Their last 3 results read D, L, L, newest first.

Panathinaikos form

Panathinaikos have 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Kalamata to score about 1.0 goals and Panathinaikos about 1.6. That points to Panathinaikos to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Panathinaikos or Draw at 1.26. Our bold bet is Panathinaikos to win and Over 2.5 at 3.45.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

KalamataPanathinaikos
Games played320
Wins09
Draws17
Losses24
Goals scored331
Goals conceded621
Scored per game1.01.6
Conceded per game2.01.1
Home record0W 0D 1L5W 5D 1L
Away record0W 1D 1L4W 2D 3L
Clean sheets0%30%
Both teams scored67%55%
Over 2.5 goals33%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals74%1.36
Over 2.5 goals48%2.09
Over 3.5 goals26%3.83
Both teams to score50%1.98
Kalamata or Draw48%2.09
Panathinaikos or Draw78%1.28
Kalamata to win and Over 2.512%8.56
Panathinaikos to win and Over 2.531%3.26
Kalamata clean sheet20%5.07
Panathinaikos clean sheet38%2.62

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.5%
0-111.5%
0-29.9%
1-29.6%
0-08.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Kalamata vs Panathinaikos?

Our prediction for Kalamata vs Panathinaikos is Panathinaikos to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Panathinaikos or Draw at 1.26.

What is the score prediction for Kalamata vs Panathinaikos?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-2. We expect Kalamata to score 1.0 goals and Panathinaikos 1.6.

Will both teams score in Kalamata vs Panathinaikos?

Both teams to score has a 50% chance. Both sides scored in 2 of Kalamata last 3 games and 11 of Panathinaikos last 20.

How are Kalamata playing?

Kalamata have 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 3 games, with 3 goals scored and 6 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 1. Their last 3 results read D, L, L, newest first.

How are Panathinaikos playing?

Panathinaikos have 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Kalamata vs Panathinaikos?

Panathinaikos or Draw at 1.26, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Kalamata against Panathinaikos. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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