PredictionsGreeceKalamata vs Volos NFC
Greek Super LeagueSun 13 Sept, 15:00 Greece time

Kalamata vs Volos NFC prediction

Peristeri Stadium

KalamataHome
1.34 : 1.20
expected goals
Volos NFCAway
39%Kalamata
28%Draw
33%Volos
Eagle safe pickVolos NFC +0.5
1.53

Quick answer

Our prediction for Kalamata vs Volos NFC is Kalamata to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Volos NFC +0.5 at 1.53.

Prediction
Kalamata to win
Chance
39%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Kalamata 1.3, Volos NFC 1.2
Best bet
Volos NFC +0.5 at 1.53
Both teams to score
52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Volos NFC +0.5
62% chancePrice 1.531 unit

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.451 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Kalamata 39%, the draw 28% and Volos NFC 33%. The bookmakers agree and make Kalamata the favourite at 2.45.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Kalamata took 1 point from their last 3 games and Volos NFC took 2 from 5. Volos NFC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Goals

    Kalamata score 1.0 goals a game and let in 2.0. Volos NFC score 0.8 and let in 2.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of Kalamata games and 10 of Volos NFC games in that run.

  4. 4
    The safest bet

    Volos NFC +0.5 has a 62% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Kalamatarecent form-5%
  • Volosrecent form-4%
Kalamata form D L LVolos form D D L L LHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Kalamata vs Volos NFC: Kalamata shade it

The big picture

Kalamata host Volos NFC in the Greek Super League on Sun 13 Sept, 15:00 at Peristeri Stadium. Our prediction for Kalamata vs Volos NFC is Kalamata to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Volos NFC +0.5 at 1.53.

Kalamata form

Kalamata have 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 3 games, with 3 goals scored and 6 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 1. Their last 3 results read D, L, L, newest first.

Volos NFC form

Volos NFC have 1 win, 6 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 41 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 9 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Kalamata to score about 1.3 goals and Volos NFC about 1.2. That points to Kalamata to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Volos NFC +0.5 at 1.53. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.45.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

KalamataVolos
Games played320
Wins01
Draws16
Losses213
Goals scored317
Goals conceded641
Scored per game1.00.8
Conceded per game2.02.0
Home record0W 0D 1L1W 6D 4L
Away record0W 1D 1L0W 0D 9L
Clean sheets0%0%
Both teams scored67%65%
Over 2.5 goals33%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Kalamata to win36%2.782.45-11.7%
A Draw27%3.763.25-13.5%
Volos NFC to win31%3.262.90-11.0%
Over 2.5 goals44%2.272.05-9.7%
Under 2.5 goals53%1.871.74-6.9%
Kalamata -0.536%2.772.35-15.1%
Volos NFC +0.562%1.621.53-5.8%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals73%1.37
Over 2.5 goals47%2.14
Over 3.5 goals25%3.97
Both teams to score52%1.91
Kalamata or Draw67%1.48
Volos NFC or Draw61%1.65
Kalamata to win and Over 2.522%4.47
Volos NFC to win and Over 2.518%5.48
Kalamata clean sheet30%3.33
Volos NFC clean sheet26%3.83

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.4%
1-09.8%
0-18.7%
0-08.6%
2-18.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Kalamata vs Volos NFC?

Our prediction for Kalamata vs Volos NFC is Kalamata to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Volos NFC +0.5 at 1.53.

What is the score prediction for Kalamata vs Volos NFC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-1. We expect Kalamata to score 1.3 goals and Volos NFC 1.2.

Will both teams score in Kalamata vs Volos NFC?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 2 of Kalamata last 3 games and 13 of Volos NFC last 20.

How are Kalamata playing?

Kalamata have 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 3 games, with 3 goals scored and 6 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 1. Their last 3 results read D, L, L, newest first.

How are Volos NFC playing?

Volos NFC have 1 win, 6 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 41 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 9 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Kalamata vs Volos NFC?

Volos NFC +0.5 at 1.53, with a 62% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Kalamata against Volos. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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