PredictionsSwedenKalmar FF vs BK Häcken
AllsvenskanSun 20 Sept, 12:00 Sweden time

Kalmar FF vs BK Häcken prediction

Guldfageln Arena

Kalmar FFHome
1.11 : 1.44
expected goals
BK HäckenAway
28%Kalmar FF
28%Draw
44%BK Häcken
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.32

Quick answer

Our prediction for Kalmar FF vs BK Häcken is BK Häcken to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32.

Prediction
BK Häcken to win
Chance
44%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Kalmar FF 1.1, BK Häcken 1.4
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.32
Both teams to score
52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1.322 units

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.561 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Kalmar FF 28%, the draw 28% and BK Häcken 44%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Kalmar FF took 1 point from their last 5 games and BK Häcken took 8 from 5. BK Häcken come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Kalmar FF won 5 of their last 9 games at home. BK Häcken won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Kalmar FF score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.5. BK Häcken score 1.6 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Kalmar FF games and 10 of BK Häcken games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Kalmar FF won 0 and BK Häcken won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended BK Häcken 1, Kalmar FF 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Kalmar FFrecent form-6%
  • BK Häckenrecent form+1%
  • Kalmar FFrest between games-5%
  • BK Häckenrest between games-5%
Kalmar FF form L L L D LBK Häcken form D D L W WHome edge in this league 21% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Kalmar FF vs BK Häcken: BK Häcken shade it

The big picture

Kalmar FF host BK Häcken in the Allsvenskan on Sun 20 Sept, 12:00 at Guldfageln Arena. Our prediction for Kalmar FF vs BK Häcken is BK Häcken to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32.

Kalmar FF form

Kalmar FF have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, L, newest first.

BK Häcken form

BK Häcken have 8 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Kalmar FF won 0, BK Häcken won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished BK Häcken 1, Kalmar FF 1.

Our call

We expect Kalmar FF to score about 1.1 goals and BK Häcken about 1.4. That points to BK Häcken to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.56.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Kalmar FFBK Häcken
Games played2020
Wins58
Draws48
Losses114
Goals scored2132
Goals conceded3028
Scored per game1.11.6
Conceded per game1.51.4
Home record5W 2D 2L4W 4D 2L
Away record0W 2D 9L4W 4D 2L
Clean sheets15%35%
Both teams scored45%60%
Over 2.5 goals50%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals73%1.37
Over 2.5 goals47%2.13
Over 3.5 goals25%3.96
Both teams to score52%1.93
Kalmar FF or Draw56%1.78
BK Häcken or Draw72%1.40
Kalmar FF to win and Over 2.516%6.40
BK Häcken to win and Over 2.525%3.96
Kalmar FF clean sheet24%4.22
BK Häcken clean sheet33%3.03

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.2%
0-110.5%
1-29.0%
0-08.6%
0-28.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Kalmar FF vs BK Häcken?

Our prediction for Kalmar FF vs BK Häcken is BK Häcken to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32.

What is the score prediction for Kalmar FF vs BK Häcken?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-2. We expect Kalmar FF to score 1.1 goals and BK Häcken 1.4.

Will both teams score in Kalmar FF vs BK Häcken?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Kalmar FF last 20 games and 12 of BK Häcken last 20.

How are Kalmar FF playing?

Kalmar FF have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, L, newest first.

How are BK Häcken playing?

BK Häcken have 8 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Kalmar FF and BK Häcken last met?

It ended BK Häcken 1, Kalmar FF 1. In the last 1 meeting Kalmar FF won 0 and BK Häcken won 0.

What is the best bet for Kalmar FF vs BK Häcken?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.32, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Kalmar FF against BK Häcken. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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