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Predictions › Sweden › Kalmar FF vs GAIS
AllsvenskanThu 29 Oct, 18:00 Sweden time

Kalmar FF vs GAIS prediction

Guldfageln Arena

Kalmar FFHome
1.23 : 1.47
expected goals
GAISAway
31%Kalmar FF
27%Draw
42%GAIS
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for Kalmar FF vs GAIS is GAIS to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Prediction
GAIS to win
Chance
42%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Kalmar FF 1.2, GAIS 1.5
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.31
Both teams to score
55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1.312 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.781 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Kalmar FF 31%, the draw 27% and GAIS 42%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Kalmar FF took 3 points from their last 5 games and GAIS took 4 from 5. GAIS come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Kalmar FF won 5 of their last 9 games at home. GAIS won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Kalmar FF score 1.0 goals a game and let in 1.6. GAIS score 1.4 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Kalmar FF games and 7 of GAIS games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Kalmar FF won 0 and GAIS won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended GAIS 3, Kalmar FF 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Kalmar FFrecent form-6%
  • GAISrecent form-1%
  • Kalmar FFrest between games-5%
  • GAISrest between games-5%
Kalmar FF form D L L L LGAIS form D L W L DHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Kalmar FF vs GAIS: GAIS shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Kalmar FF host GAIS in the Allsvenskan on Thu 29 Oct, 18:00 at Guldfageln Arena. Our prediction for Kalmar FF vs GAIS is GAIS to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Kalmar FF form

Kalmar FF have 6 wins, 3 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

GAIS form

GAIS have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Kalmar FF won 0, GAIS won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished GAIS 3, Kalmar FF 0.

Our call

We expect Kalmar FF to score about 1.2 goals and GAIS about 1.5. That points to GAIS to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.78.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Kalmar FFGAIS
Games played2020
Wins68
Draws35
Losses117
Goals scored2028
Goals conceded3219
Scored per game1.01.4
Conceded per game1.60.9
Home record5W 1D 3L5W 3D 2L
Away record1W 2D 8L3W 2D 5L
Clean sheets15%45%
Both teams scored40%30%
Over 2.5 goals55%35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals76%1.32
Over 2.5 goals51%1.97
Over 3.5 goals29%3.48
Both teams to score55%1.81
Kalmar FF or Draw58%1.72
GAIS or Draw69%1.45
Kalmar FF to win and Over 2.518%5.43
GAIS to win and Over 2.526%3.90
Kalmar FF clean sheet23%4.37
GAIS clean sheet29%3.43

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.9%
0-19.1%
1-28.9%
1-07.5%
2-17.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Kalmar FF vs GAIS?

Our prediction for Kalmar FF vs GAIS is GAIS to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Kalmar FF vs GAIS?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-2. We expect Kalmar FF to score 1.2 goals and GAIS 1.5.

Will both teams score in Kalmar FF vs GAIS?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Kalmar FF last 20 games and 6 of GAIS last 20.

How are Kalmar FF playing?

Kalmar FF have 6 wins, 3 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are GAIS playing?

GAIS have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, D, newest first.

What happened when Kalmar FF and GAIS last met?

It ended GAIS 3, Kalmar FF 0. In the last 1 meeting Kalmar FF won 0 and GAIS won 1.

What is the best bet for Kalmar FF vs GAIS?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.31, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Kalmar FF against GAIS. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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