Predictions › Sweden › Kalmar FF vs IF Brommapojkarna

AllsvenskanSat 24 Oct, 15:30 Sweden time

Kalmar FF vs IF Brommapojkarna prediction

Guldfageln Arena

Kalmar FFHome

1.67 : 2.00

expected goals

IF BrommapojkarnaAway

32%Kalmar FF

22%Draw

45%Brommapojkar

Eagle safe pickOver 2.5 goals

1.37

Quick answer

Our prediction for Kalmar FF vs IF Brommapojkarna is IF Brommapojkarna to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.37.

Prediction: IF Brommapojkarna to win
Chance: 45%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Kalmar FF 1.7, IF Brommapojkarna 2.0
Best bet: Over 2.5 goals at 1.37
Both teams to score: 71%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 2.5 goals

73% chanceFair price 1.371 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

IF Brommapojkarna to win and Over 2.5

35% chanceFair price 2.881 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Kalmar FF 32%, the draw 22% and IF Brommapojkarna 45%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Kalmar FF took 0 points from their last 5 games and IF Brommapojkarna took 6 from 5. IF Brommapojkarna come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Kalmar FF won 5 of their last 10 games at home. IF Brommapojkarna won 4 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Kalmar FF score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.6. IF Brommapojkarna score 1.6 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Kalmar FF games and 14 of IF Brommapojkarna games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Kalmar FF won 0 and IF Brommapojkarna won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended IF Brommapojkarna 1, Kalmar FF 0.
6
The safest bet
Over 2.5 goals has a 73% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Kalmar FFrecent form-6%
Brommapojkarrecent form-3%
Kalmar FFrest between games-2%

Kalmar FF form D L L L LBrommapojkar form D L L W LHome edge in this league 21% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Kalmar FF vs IF Brommapojkarna: IF Brommapojkarna are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Kalmar FF host IF Brommapojkarna in the Allsvenskan on Sat 24 Oct, 15:30 at Guldfageln Arena. Our prediction for Kalmar FF vs IF Brommapojkarna is IF Brommapojkarna to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.37.

Kalmar FF form

Kalmar FF have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

IF Brommapojkarna form

IF Brommapojkarna have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Kalmar FF won 0, IF Brommapojkarna won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished IF Brommapojkarna 1, Kalmar FF 0.

Our call

We expect Kalmar FF to score about 1.7 goals and IF Brommapojkarna about 2.0. That points to IF Brommapojkarna to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.37. Our bold bet is IF Brommapojkarna to win and Over 2.5 at 2.88.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Kalmar FF	Brommapojkar
Games played	20	20
Wins	5	8
Draws	4	4
Losses	11	8
Goals scored	19	32
Goals conceded	32	34
Scored per game	0.9	1.6
Conceded per game	1.6	1.7
Home record	5W 2D 3L	4W 2D 4L
Away record	0W 2D 8L	4W 2D 4L
Clean sheets	15%	10%
Both teams scored	40%	75%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	89%	1.13
Over 2.5 goals	71%	1.41
Over 3.5 goals	50%	2.00
Both teams to score	71%	1.41
Kalmar FF or Draw	55%	1.83
IF Brommapojkarna or Draw	68%	1.47
Kalmar FF to win and Over 2.5	25%	4.01
IF Brommapojkarna to win and Over 2.5	36%	2.80
Kalmar FF clean sheet	14%	7.40
IF Brommapojkarna clean sheet	19%	5.32

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-19.0%

1-28.5%

2-27.1%

2-17.1%

1-35.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Kalmar FF vs IF Brommapojkarna?

Our prediction for Kalmar FF vs IF Brommapojkarna is IF Brommapojkarna to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.37.

What is the score prediction for Kalmar FF vs IF Brommapojkarna?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-2. We expect Kalmar FF to score 1.7 goals and IF Brommapojkarna 2.0.

Will both teams score in Kalmar FF vs IF Brommapojkarna?

Both teams to score has a 71% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Kalmar FF last 20 games and 15 of IF Brommapojkarna last 20.

How are Kalmar FF playing?

How are IF Brommapojkarna playing?

What happened when Kalmar FF and IF Brommapojkarna last met?

It ended IF Brommapojkarna 1, Kalmar FF 0. In the last 1 meeting Kalmar FF won 0 and IF Brommapojkarna won 1.

What is the best bet for Kalmar FF vs IF Brommapojkarna?

Over 2.5 goals at 1.37, with a 73% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Kalmar FF against Brommapojkar. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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