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Predictions › Sweden › Kalmar FF vs IK Sirius
AllsvenskanSun 8 Nov, 15:30 Sweden time

Kalmar FF vs IK Sirius prediction

Guldfageln Arena

Kalmar FFHome
0.98 : 2.60
expected goals
IK SiriusAway
12%Kalmar FF
17%Draw
72%Sirius
Eagle safe pickIK Sirius to win
1.37

Quick answer

Our prediction for Kalmar FF vs IK Sirius is IK Sirius to win, with a 72% chance. The most likely score is 0-2. Our best bet is IK Sirius to win at 1.37.

Prediction
IK Sirius to win
Chance
72%
Most likely score
0-2
Expected goals
Kalmar FF 1.0, IK Sirius 2.6
Best bet
IK Sirius to win at 1.37
Both teams to score
58%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

IK Sirius to win
73% chanceFair price 1.371 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

IK Sirius to win and both score
37% chanceFair price 2.731 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Kalmar FF 12%, the draw 17% and IK Sirius 72%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Kalmar FF took 3 points from their last 5 games and IK Sirius took 10 from 5. IK Sirius come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Kalmar FF won 4 of their last 9 games at home. IK Sirius won 8 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Kalmar FF score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.7. IK Sirius score 2.1 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Kalmar FF games and 14 of IK Sirius games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Kalmar FF won 0 and IK Sirius won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended IK Sirius 3, Kalmar FF 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    IK Sirius to win has a 73% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Kalmar FFrecent form-3%
  • Siriusrecent form+4%
Kalmar FF form D W L L LSirius form D D W W WHome edge in this league 17% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Kalmar FF vs IK Sirius: IK Sirius are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Kalmar FF host IK Sirius in the Allsvenskan on Sun 8 Nov, 15:30 at Guldfageln Arena. Our prediction for Kalmar FF vs IK Sirius is IK Sirius to win, with a 72% chance. The most likely score is 0-2. Our best bet is IK Sirius to win at 1.37.

Kalmar FF form

Kalmar FF have 5 wins, 3 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

IK Sirius form

IK Sirius have 13 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 42 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Kalmar FF won 0, IK Sirius won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished IK Sirius 3, Kalmar FF 2.

Our call

We expect Kalmar FF to score about 1.0 goals and IK Sirius about 2.6. That points to IK Sirius to win, with 0-2 the most likely score. Our safest bet is IK Sirius to win at 1.37. Our bold bet is IK Sirius to win and both score at 2.73.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Kalmar FFSirius
Games played2020
Wins513
Draws33
Losses124
Goals scored1842
Goals conceded3427
Scored per game0.92.1
Conceded per game1.71.4
Home record4W 1D 4L5W 3D 3L
Away record1W 2D 8L8W 0D 1L
Clean sheets15%30%
Both teams scored35%60%
Over 2.5 goals55%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals88%1.14
Over 2.5 goals69%1.44
Over 3.5 goals48%2.09
Both teams to score58%1.72
Kalmar FF or Draw28%3.54
IK Sirius or Draw88%1.13
Kalmar FF to win and Over 2.58%12.73
IK Sirius to win and Over 2.555%1.80
Kalmar FF clean sheet7%13.44
IK Sirius clean sheet38%2.66

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-29.5%
1-29.2%
0-38.2%
1-38.0%
1-17.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Kalmar FF vs IK Sirius?

Our prediction for Kalmar FF vs IK Sirius is IK Sirius to win, with a 72% chance. The most likely score is 0-2. Our best bet is IK Sirius to win at 1.37.

What is the score prediction for Kalmar FF vs IK Sirius?

0-2 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-3. We expect Kalmar FF to score 1.0 goals and IK Sirius 2.6.

Will both teams score in Kalmar FF vs IK Sirius?

Both teams to score has a 58% chance. Both sides scored in 7 of Kalmar FF last 20 games and 12 of IK Sirius last 20.

How are Kalmar FF playing?

Kalmar FF have 5 wins, 3 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

How are IK Sirius playing?

IK Sirius have 13 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 42 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Kalmar FF and IK Sirius last met?

It ended IK Sirius 3, Kalmar FF 2. In the last 1 meeting Kalmar FF won 0 and IK Sirius won 1.

What is the best bet for Kalmar FF vs IK Sirius?

IK Sirius to win at 1.37, with a 73% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Kalmar FF against Sirius. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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