Predictions › United States › Kansas State Wildcats vs Arizona State Sun Devils
College FootballSat 24 Oct, 00:00 United States time

Kansas State Wildcats vs Arizona State Sun Devils prediction

Mountain America Stadium

Kansas State WildcatsAway
26.2 : 30.2
projected points
Arizona State Sun DevilsHome
44%Kansas St
56%Arizona St
Eagle safe pickKansas St +14.5
-294

Quick answer

Our prediction for Kansas State Wildcats vs Arizona State Sun Devils is Arizona State Sun Devils to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Kansas State Wildcats 26.2 and Arizona State Sun Devils 30.2. Our best bet is Kansas St +14.5 at -294.

Prediction
Arizona State Sun Devils to win
Chance
56%
Projected score
Kansas State Wildcats 26, Arizona State Sun Devils 30
Projected total
56.4 points
Best bet
Kansas St +14.5 at -294

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Kansas St +14.5
75% chanceFair price -2941 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Kansas St to win
40% chanceFair price +1521 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Arizona State Sun Devils 56% and Kansas State Wildcats 44%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Arizona State Sun Devils won 3 of their last 5 and Kansas State Wildcats won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Arizona State Sun Devils won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Kansas State Wildcats won 2 of their last 6 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Arizona State Sun Devils score 27.5 points a game and let in 25.9. Kansas State Wildcats score 32.2 and let in 23.8. Their recent games average 53.4 and 56.0 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Kansas St +14.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Kansas State Wildcats vs Arizona State Sun Devils: Arizona State Sun Devils shade it

The big picture

Arizona State Sun Devils host Kansas State Wildcats in the College Football on Sat 24 Oct, 00:00 at Mountain America Stadium. Our prediction for Kansas State Wildcats vs Arizona State Sun Devils is Arizona State Sun Devils to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Kansas State Wildcats 26.2 and Arizona State Sun Devils 30.2. Our best bet is Kansas St +14.5 at -294.

Arizona State Sun Devils form

Arizona State Sun Devils have 10 wins and 6 losses in their last 16 games, with 440 points scored and 414 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Kansas State Wildcats form

Kansas State Wildcats have 8 wins and 6 losses in their last 14 games, with 451 points scored and 333 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 4 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Kansas State Wildcats to score about 26.2 points and Arizona State Sun Devils about 30.2. That points to Arizona State Sun Devils to win. Our safest bet is Kansas St +14.5 at -294. Our bold bet is Kansas St to win at +152.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 16 games in all competitions.

Arizona StKansas St
Games played1614
Wins108
Losses66
Points scored440451
Points conceded414333
Scored per game27.532.2
Conceded per game25.923.8
Home record6W 3L6W 2L
Away record4W 3L2W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Arizona St spreadCoversFair
Arizona St -11.532%+212
Arizona St -7.541%+141
Arizona St -4.549%+104
Arizona St -1.556%-129
Arizona St +2.566%-193
Total pointsOverUnder
49.567%33%
53.557%43%
56.550%50%
59.542%58%
63.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Arizona St +3.5 wins if Arizona St win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Kansas State Wildcats vs Arizona State Sun Devils?

Our prediction for Kansas State Wildcats vs Arizona State Sun Devils is Arizona State Sun Devils to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Kansas State Wildcats 26.2 and Arizona State Sun Devils 30.2. Our best bet is Kansas St +14.5 at -294.

What is the projected score for Kansas State Wildcats vs Arizona State Sun Devils?

We project Kansas State Wildcats 26.2 and Arizona State Sun Devils 30.2, about 56.4 points in total.

How are Arizona State Sun Devils playing?

Arizona State Sun Devils have 10 wins and 6 losses in their last 16 games, with 440 points scored and 414 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Kansas State Wildcats playing?

Kansas State Wildcats have 8 wins and 6 losses in their last 14 games, with 451 points scored and 333 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 4 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Kansas State Wildcats vs Arizona State Sun Devils?

Kansas St +14.5 at -294, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Arizona St against Kansas St. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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