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Predictions › United States › Kansas State Wildcats vs TCU Horned Frogs
College FootballSat 14 Nov, 00:00 United States time

Kansas State Wildcats vs TCU Horned Frogs prediction

Amon G. Carter Stadium

Kansas State WildcatsAway
20.9 : 27.5
projected points
TCU Horned FrogsHome
35%Kansas St
65%TCU
Eagle safe pickUnder 58.5 points
-299

Quick answer

Our prediction for Kansas State Wildcats vs TCU Horned Frogs is TCU Horned Frogs to win, with a 65% chance. We project Kansas State Wildcats 20.9 and TCU Horned Frogs 27.5. Our best bet is Under 58.5 points at -299.

Prediction
TCU Horned Frogs to win
Chance
65%
Projected score
Kansas State Wildcats 21, TCU Horned Frogs 27
Projected total
48.3 points
Best bet
Under 58.5 points at -299

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 58.5 points
75% chanceFair price -2991 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Kansas St to win
33% chanceFair price +2031 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives TCU Horned Frogs 65% and Kansas State Wildcats 35%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    TCU Horned Frogs won 2 of their last 5 and Kansas State Wildcats won 1 of their last 5. TCU Horned Frogs come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    TCU Horned Frogs won 9 of their last 13 games at home. Kansas State Wildcats won 2 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    TCU Horned Frogs score 26.9 points a game and let in 21.4. Kansas State Wildcats score 31.0 and let in 24.2. Their recent games average 48.3 and 55.2 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, TCU Horned Frogs won 0 and Kansas State Wildcats won 1. The last one ended Kansas State Wildcats 41, TCU Horned Frogs 28.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 58.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Kansas State Wildcats vs TCU Horned Frogs: TCU Horned Frogs are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

TCU Horned Frogs host Kansas State Wildcats in the College Football on Sat 14 Nov, 00:00 at Amon G. Carter Stadium. Our prediction for Kansas State Wildcats vs TCU Horned Frogs is TCU Horned Frogs to win, with a 65% chance. We project Kansas State Wildcats 20.9 and TCU Horned Frogs 27.5. Our best bet is Under 58.5 points at -299.

TCU Horned Frogs form

TCU Horned Frogs have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 537 points scored and 428 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 4 losses from 13. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Kansas State Wildcats form

Kansas State Wildcats have 9 wins and 8 losses in their last 17 games, with 527 points scored and 412 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. TCU Horned Frogs won 0, Kansas State Wildcats won 1. Last time out it finished Kansas State Wildcats 41, TCU Horned Frogs 28.

Our call

We expect Kansas State Wildcats to score about 20.9 points and TCU Horned Frogs about 27.5. That points to TCU Horned Frogs to win. Our safest bet is Under 58.5 points at -299. Our bold bet is Kansas St to win at +203.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

TCUKansas St
Games played2017
Wins129
Losses88
Points scored537527
Points conceded428412
Scored per game26.931.0
Conceded per game21.424.2
Home record9W 4L7W 2L
Away record3W 4L2W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

TCU spreadCoversFair
TCU -13.533%+200
TCU -9.543%+133
TCU -6.550%-101
TCU -3.558%-137
TCU +0.567%-205
Total pointsOverUnder
41.567%33%
45.557%43%
48.550%50%
51.542%58%
55.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. TCU +3.5 wins if TCU win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
College Football

Sonny Dykes Shrugs Off Boos as TCU Looks to Rebound

Sonny Dykes brushed aside calls for his firing as TCU sits at 4-4 following a narrow home win over Kansas.

7 hours ago

Questions people ask

Who will win Kansas State Wildcats vs TCU Horned Frogs?

Our prediction for Kansas State Wildcats vs TCU Horned Frogs is TCU Horned Frogs to win, with a 65% chance. We project Kansas State Wildcats 20.9 and TCU Horned Frogs 27.5. Our best bet is Under 58.5 points at -299.

What is the projected score for Kansas State Wildcats vs TCU Horned Frogs?

We project Kansas State Wildcats 20.9 and TCU Horned Frogs 27.5, about 48.3 points in total.

How are TCU Horned Frogs playing?

TCU Horned Frogs have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 537 points scored and 428 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 4 losses from 13. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Kansas State Wildcats playing?

Kansas State Wildcats have 9 wins and 8 losses in their last 17 games, with 527 points scored and 412 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when TCU Horned Frogs and Kansas State Wildcats last met?

It ended Kansas State Wildcats 41, TCU Horned Frogs 28. In the last 1 meeting TCU Horned Frogs won 0 and Kansas State Wildcats won 1.

What is the best bet for Kansas State Wildcats vs TCU Horned Frogs?

Under 58.5 points at -299, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in TCU against Kansas St. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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