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Predictions › Germany › Karlsruher SC vs 1. FC Nürnberg
2. BundesligaSat 19 Sept, 11:00 Germany time

Karlsruher SC vs 1. FC Nürnberg prediction

BBBank Wildpark

Karlsruher SCHome
1.86 : 2.12
expected goals
1. FC NürnbergAway
34%Karlsruher
22%Draw
44%1. FC Nürnberg
Eagle safe pickOver 2.5 goals
1.28

Quick answer

Our prediction for Karlsruher SC vs 1. FC Nürnberg is 1. FC Nürnberg to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.28.

Prediction
1. FC Nürnberg to win
Chance
44%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Karlsruher SC 1.9, 1. FC Nürnberg 2.1
Best bet
Over 2.5 goals at 1.28
Both teams to score
75%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 2.5 goals
78% chanceFair price 1.282 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

1. FC Nürnberg to win and Over 2.5
34% chanceFair price 2.961 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Karlsruher SC 34%, the draw 22% and 1. FC Nürnberg 44%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Karlsruher SC took 5 points from their last 5 games and 1. FC Nürnberg took 13 from 5. 1. FC Nürnberg come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Karlsruher SC won 5 of their last 11 games at home. 1. FC Nürnberg won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Karlsruher SC score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.9. 1. FC Nürnberg score 2.0 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 16 of Karlsruher SC games and 12 of 1. FC Nürnberg games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Karlsruher SC won 1 and 1. FC Nürnberg won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended 1. FC Nürnberg 5, Karlsruher SC 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 2.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Karlsruherrecent form+1%
  • 1. FC Nürnbergrecent form+6%
  • 1. FC Nürnbergrest between games-5%
Karlsruher form D L W D W1. FC Nürnberg form W D W W WHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Karlsruher SC vs 1. FC Nürnberg: 1. FC Nürnberg shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Karlsruher SC host 1. FC Nürnberg in the 2. Bundesliga on Sat 19 Sept, 11:00 at BBBank Wildpark. Our prediction for Karlsruher SC vs 1. FC Nürnberg is 1. FC Nürnberg to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.28.

Karlsruher SC form

Karlsruher SC have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 39 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, W, L, newest first.

1. FC Nürnberg form

1. FC Nürnberg have 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Karlsruher SC won 1, 1. FC Nürnberg won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished 1. FC Nürnberg 5, Karlsruher SC 1.

Our call

We expect Karlsruher SC to score about 1.9 goals and 1. FC Nürnberg about 2.1. That points to 1. FC Nürnberg to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.28. Our bold bet is 1. FC Nürnberg to win and Over 2.5 at 2.96.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Karlsruher1. FC Nürnberg
Games played2020
Wins69
Draws67
Losses84
Goals scored3240
Goals conceded3924
Scored per game1.62.0
Conceded per game1.91.2
Home record5W 3D 3L7W 1D 2L
Away record1W 3D 5L2W 6D 2L
Clean sheets5%20%
Both teams scored75%70%
Over 2.5 goals80%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals91%1.10
Over 2.5 goals76%1.32
Over 3.5 goals56%1.78
Both teams to score75%1.34
Karlsruher SC or Draw56%1.79
1. FC Nürnberg or Draw66%1.52
Karlsruher SC to win and Over 2.528%3.58
1. FC Nürnberg to win and Over 2.537%2.74
Karlsruher SC clean sheet12%8.32
1. FC Nürnberg clean sheet16%6.42

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-17.8%
1-27.8%
2-27.3%
2-16.9%
1-35.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Karlsruher SC vs 1. FC Nürnberg?

Our prediction for Karlsruher SC vs 1. FC Nürnberg is 1. FC Nürnberg to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.28.

What is the score prediction for Karlsruher SC vs 1. FC Nürnberg?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-2. We expect Karlsruher SC to score 1.9 goals and 1. FC Nürnberg 2.1.

Will both teams score in Karlsruher SC vs 1. FC Nürnberg?

Both teams to score has a 75% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of Karlsruher SC last 20 games and 14 of 1. FC Nürnberg last 20.

How are Karlsruher SC playing?

Karlsruher SC have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 39 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, W, L, newest first.

How are 1. FC Nürnberg playing?

1. FC Nürnberg have 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Karlsruher SC and 1. FC Nürnberg last met?

It ended 1. FC Nürnberg 5, Karlsruher SC 1. In the last 2 meetings Karlsruher SC won 1 and 1. FC Nürnberg won 1.

What is the best bet for Karlsruher SC vs 1. FC Nürnberg?

Over 2.5 goals at 1.28, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Karlsruher against 1. FC Nürnberg. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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