Predictions › Germany › Karlsruher SC vs SV Darmstadt 98
2. BundesligaSun 18 Oct, 11:30 Germany time

Karlsruher SC vs SV Darmstadt 98 prediction

BBBank Wildpark

Karlsruher SCHome
1.91 : 1.65
expected goals
SV Darmstadt 98Away
44%Karlsruher
23%Draw
33%Darmstadt
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for Karlsruher SC vs SV Darmstadt 98 is Karlsruher SC to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

Prediction
Karlsruher SC to win
Chance
44%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Karlsruher SC 1.9, SV Darmstadt 98 1.6
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.18
Both teams to score
69%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
85% chanceFair price 1.182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Karlsruher SC to win and Over 2.5
33% chanceFair price 3.081 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Karlsruher SC 44%, the draw 23% and SV Darmstadt 98 33%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Karlsruher SC took 2 points from their last 5 games and SV Darmstadt 98 took 3 from 5. SV Darmstadt 98 come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Karlsruher SC won 5 of their last 12 games at home. SV Darmstadt 98 won 0 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Karlsruher SC score 1.5 goals a game and let in 2.0. SV Darmstadt 98 score 1.3 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 16 of Karlsruher SC games and 12 of SV Darmstadt 98 games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Karlsruher SC won 1 and SV Darmstadt 98 won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Karlsruher SC 2, SV Darmstadt 98 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Karlsruherrecent form-3%
  • Darmstadtrecent form-1%
Karlsruher form L L D L WDarmstadt form L W L L WHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Karlsruher SC vs SV Darmstadt 98: Karlsruher SC shade it

The big picture

Karlsruher SC host SV Darmstadt 98 in the 2. Bundesliga on Sun 18 Oct, 11:30 at BBBank Wildpark. Our prediction for Karlsruher SC vs SV Darmstadt 98 is Karlsruher SC to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

Karlsruher SC form

Karlsruher SC have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 40 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, D, newest first.

SV Darmstadt 98 form

SV Darmstadt 98 have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Karlsruher SC won 1, SV Darmstadt 98 won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Karlsruher SC 2, SV Darmstadt 98 1.

Our call

We expect Karlsruher SC to score about 1.9 goals and SV Darmstadt 98 about 1.6. That points to Karlsruher SC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18. Our bold bet is Karlsruher SC to win and Over 2.5 at 3.08.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

KarlsruherDarmstadt
Games played2020
Wins64
Draws56
Losses910
Goals scored3026
Goals conceded4036
Scored per game1.51.3
Conceded per game2.01.8
Home record5W 2D 5L4W 3D 3L
Away record1W 3D 4L0W 3D 7L
Clean sheets5%10%
Both teams scored70%65%
Over 2.5 goals80%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals87%1.14
Over 2.5 goals69%1.45
Over 3.5 goals47%2.11
Both teams to score69%1.44
Karlsruher SC or Draw67%1.50
SV Darmstadt 98 or Draw56%1.78
Karlsruher SC to win and Over 2.534%2.97
SV Darmstadt 98 to win and Over 2.525%3.97
Karlsruher SC clean sheet19%5.19
SV Darmstadt 98 clean sheet15%6.72

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-19.5%
2-18.6%
1-27.4%
2-27.1%
3-15.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Karlsruher SC vs SV Darmstadt 98?

Our prediction for Karlsruher SC vs SV Darmstadt 98 is Karlsruher SC to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for Karlsruher SC vs SV Darmstadt 98?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Karlsruher SC to score 1.9 goals and SV Darmstadt 98 1.6.

Will both teams score in Karlsruher SC vs SV Darmstadt 98?

Both teams to score has a 69% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Karlsruher SC last 20 games and 13 of SV Darmstadt 98 last 20.

How are Karlsruher SC playing?

Karlsruher SC have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 40 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, D, newest first.

How are SV Darmstadt 98 playing?

SV Darmstadt 98 have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Karlsruher SC and SV Darmstadt 98 last met?

It ended Karlsruher SC 2, SV Darmstadt 98 1. In the last 2 meetings Karlsruher SC won 1 and SV Darmstadt 98 won 1.

What is the best bet for Karlsruher SC vs SV Darmstadt 98?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Karlsruher against Darmstadt. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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