Predictions › Germany › Karlsruher SC vs VfL Osnabruck

2. BundesligaSun 22 Nov, 12:30 Germany time

Karlsruher SC vs VfL Osnabruck prediction

BBBank Wildpark

Karlsruher SCHome

1.70 : 1.46

expected goals

VfL OsnabruckAway

43%Karlsruher

25%Draw

33%Osnabruck

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for Karlsruher SC vs VfL Osnabruck is Karlsruher SC to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

Prediction: Karlsruher SC to win
Chance: 43%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Karlsruher SC 1.7, VfL Osnabruck 1.5
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.21
Both teams to score: 63%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

83% chanceFair price 1.212 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Karlsruher SC to win and Over 2.5

30% chanceFair price 3.361 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Karlsruher SC 43%, the draw 25% and VfL Osnabruck 33%. The bookmakers agree and make Karlsruher SC the favourite at 2.20.
2
Recent form
Karlsruher SC took 6 points from their last 5 games and VfL Osnabruck took 4 from 5. Karlsruher SC come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Karlsruher SC won 6 of their last 11 games at home. VfL Osnabruck won 1 of their last 5 on the road.
4
Goals
Karlsruher SC score 1.4 goals a game and let in 2.0. VfL Osnabruck score 1.3 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 16 of Karlsruher SC games and 6 of VfL Osnabruck games in that run.
5
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Karlsruherrecent form-1%
Osnabruckrecent form-3%

Karlsruher form L W L L WOsnabruck form L L W L DHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Karlsruher SC vs VfL Osnabruck: Karlsruher SC shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Karlsruher SC host VfL Osnabruck in the 2. Bundesliga on Sun 22 Nov, 12:30 at BBBank Wildpark. Our prediction for Karlsruher SC vs VfL Osnabruck is Karlsruher SC to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

Karlsruher SC form

Karlsruher SC have 6 wins, 3 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 41 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

VfL Osnabruck form

VfL Osnabruck have 3 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in their last 11 games, with 14 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Karlsruher SC to score about 1.7 goals and VfL Osnabruck about 1.5. That points to Karlsruher SC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21. Our bold bet is Karlsruher SC to win and Over 2.5 at 3.36.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Karlsruher	Osnabruck
Games played	20	11
Wins	6	3
Draws	3	2
Losses	11	6
Goals scored	28	14
Goals conceded	41	18
Scored per game	1.4	1.3
Conceded per game	2.0	1.6
Home record	6W 0D 5L	2W 1D 3L
Away record	0W 3D 6L	1W 1D 3L
Clean sheets	10%	18%
Both teams scored	60%	55%
Over 2.5 goals	80%	55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Karlsruher SC to win	41%	2.43	2.20	-9.4%
A Draw	24%	4.16	3.60	-13.5%
VfL Osnabruck to win	32%	3.13	2.85	-8.8%
Over 2.5 goals	55%	1.81	1.51	-16.2%
Under 2.5 goals	38%	2.61	2.30	-11.9%
Karlsruher SC -0.5	41%	2.41	2.10	-13.0%
VfL Osnabruck +0.5	52%	1.93	1.61	-16.8%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	83%	1.20
Over 2.5 goals	61%	1.63
Over 3.5 goals	39%	2.57
Both teams to score	63%	1.58
Karlsruher SC or Draw	67%	1.48
VfL Osnabruck or Draw	57%	1.75
Karlsruher SC to win and Over 2.5	30%	3.32
VfL Osnabruck to win and Over 2.5	22%	4.45
Karlsruher SC clean sheet	23%	4.31
VfL Osnabruck clean sheet	18%	5.49

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.1%

2-18.9%

1-27.7%

1-06.6%

2-26.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Karlsruher SC vs VfL Osnabruck?

Our prediction for Karlsruher SC vs VfL Osnabruck is Karlsruher SC to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for Karlsruher SC vs VfL Osnabruck?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Karlsruher SC to score 1.7 goals and VfL Osnabruck 1.5.

Will both teams score in Karlsruher SC vs VfL Osnabruck?

Both teams to score has a 63% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Karlsruher SC last 20 games and 6 of VfL Osnabruck last 11.

How are Karlsruher SC playing?

How are VfL Osnabruck playing?

What is the best bet for Karlsruher SC vs VfL Osnabruck?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.21, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Karlsruher against Osnabruck. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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