Predictions › Japan › Kashima Antlers vs Cerezo Osaka

J1 LeagueSat 31 Oct, 06:00 Japan time

Kashima Antlers vs Cerezo Osaka prediction

Kashima Soccer Stadium

Kashima AntlersHome

2.03 : 0.62

expected goals

Cerezo OsakaAway

70%Kashima

20%Draw

10%Cerezo Osaka

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.32

Quick answer

Our prediction for Kashima Antlers vs Cerezo Osaka is Kashima Antlers to win, with a 70% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32.

Prediction: Kashima Antlers to win
Chance: 70%
Most likely score: 2-0
Expected goals: Kashima Antlers 2.0, Cerezo Osaka 0.6
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.32
Both teams to score: 41%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

75% chanceFair price 1.322 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Kashima Antlers to win and Over 2.5

43% chanceFair price 2.341 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Kashima Antlers 70%, the draw 20% and Cerezo Osaka 10%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Kashima Antlers took 7 points from their last 5 games and Cerezo Osaka took 3 from 5. Kashima Antlers come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Kashima Antlers won 8 of their last 10 games at home. Cerezo Osaka won 2 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Kashima Antlers score 1.7 goals a game and let in 1.3. Cerezo Osaka score 1.6 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Kashima Antlers games and 11 of Cerezo Osaka games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Kashima Antlers won 1 and Cerezo Osaka won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Kashima Antlers 3, Cerezo Osaka 1.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Kashimarecent form+4%
Cerezo Osakarecent form-1%

Kashima form D W W D WCerezo Osaka form D D D L DHome edge in this league 15% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Kashima Antlers vs Cerezo Osaka: Kashima Antlers are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Kashima Antlers host Cerezo Osaka in the J1 League on Sat 31 Oct, 06:00 at Kashima Soccer Stadium. Our prediction for Kashima Antlers vs Cerezo Osaka is Kashima Antlers to win, with a 70% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32.

Kashima Antlers form

Kashima Antlers have 12 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, L, L, newest first.

Cerezo Osaka form

Cerezo Osaka have 8 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Kashima Antlers won 1, Cerezo Osaka won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Kashima Antlers 3, Cerezo Osaka 1.

Our call

We expect Kashima Antlers to score about 2.0 goals and Cerezo Osaka about 0.6. That points to Kashima Antlers to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32. Our bold bet is Kashima Antlers to win and Over 2.5 at 2.34.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Kashima	Cerezo Osaka
Games played	20	20
Wins	12	8
Draws	3	7
Losses	5	5
Goals scored	34	32
Goals conceded	25	28
Scored per game	1.7	1.6
Conceded per game	1.3	1.4
Home record	8W 1D 1L	6W 4D 1L
Away record	4W 2D 4L	2W 3D 4L
Clean sheets	45%	30%
Both teams scored	45%	60%
Over 2.5 goals	45%	55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	75%	1.34
Over 2.5 goals	49%	2.02
Over 3.5 goals	28%	3.63
Both teams to score	41%	2.45
Kashima Antlers or Draw	90%	1.11
Cerezo Osaka or Draw	30%	3.32
Kashima Antlers to win and Over 2.5	42%	2.40
Cerezo Osaka to win and Over 2.5	5%	21.95
Kashima Antlers clean sheet	54%	1.86
Cerezo Osaka clean sheet	13%	7.60

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-014.5%

1-013.8%

3-09.8%

1-19.5%

2-19.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Kashima Antlers vs Cerezo Osaka?

Our prediction for Kashima Antlers vs Cerezo Osaka is Kashima Antlers to win, with a 70% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32.

What is the score prediction for Kashima Antlers vs Cerezo Osaka?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 3-0. We expect Kashima Antlers to score 2.0 goals and Cerezo Osaka 0.6.

Will both teams score in Kashima Antlers vs Cerezo Osaka?

Both teams to score has a 41% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Kashima Antlers last 20 games and 12 of Cerezo Osaka last 20.

How are Kashima Antlers playing?

How are Cerezo Osaka playing?

What happened when Kashima Antlers and Cerezo Osaka last met?

It ended Kashima Antlers 3, Cerezo Osaka 1. In the last 1 meeting Kashima Antlers won 1 and Cerezo Osaka won 0.

What is the best bet for Kashima Antlers vs Cerezo Osaka?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.32, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Kashima against Cerezo Osaka. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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