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Predictions › Japan › Kashima Antlers vs Kashiwa Reysol
J1 LeagueSat 24 Oct, 06:00 Japan time

Kashima Antlers vs Kashiwa Reysol prediction

Kashima Soccer Stadium

Kashima AntlersHome
1.65 : 1.01
expected goals
Kashiwa ReysolAway
51%Kashima
26%Draw
23%Kashiwa
Eagle safe pickKashima Antlers or Draw
1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for Kashima Antlers vs Kashiwa Reysol is Kashima Antlers to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Kashima Antlers or Draw at 1.31.

Prediction
Kashima Antlers to win
Chance
51%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Kashima Antlers 1.6, Kashiwa Reysol 1.0
Best bet
Kashima Antlers or Draw at 1.31
Both teams to score
52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Kashima Antlers or Draw
76% chanceFair price 1.312 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Kashima Antlers to win and Over 2.5
29% chanceFair price 3.451 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Kashima Antlers 51%, the draw 26% and Kashiwa Reysol 23%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Kashima Antlers took 4 points from their last 5 games and Kashiwa Reysol took 9 from 5. Kashiwa Reysol come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Kashima Antlers won 7 of their last 9 games at home. Kashiwa Reysol won 6 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Kashima Antlers score 1.7 goals a game and let in 1.3. Kashiwa Reysol score 1.7 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Kashima Antlers games and 9 of Kashiwa Reysol games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Kashima Antlers won 2 and Kashiwa Reysol won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Kashiwa Reysol 0, Kashima Antlers 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Kashima Antlers or Draw has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Kashimarecent form+1%
Kashima form D W D W LKashiwa form D W L W LHome edge in this league 16% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Kashima Antlers vs Kashiwa Reysol: Kashima Antlers are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Kashima Antlers host Kashiwa Reysol in the J1 League on Sat 24 Oct, 06:00 at Kashima Soccer Stadium. Our prediction for Kashima Antlers vs Kashiwa Reysol is Kashima Antlers to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Kashima Antlers or Draw at 1.31.

Kashima Antlers form

Kashima Antlers have 12 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, L, L, newest first.

Kashiwa Reysol form

Kashiwa Reysol have 11 wins, 0 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Kashima Antlers won 2, Kashiwa Reysol won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Kashiwa Reysol 0, Kashima Antlers 1.

Our call

We expect Kashima Antlers to score about 1.6 goals and Kashiwa Reysol about 1.0. That points to Kashima Antlers to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Kashima Antlers or Draw at 1.31. Our bold bet is Kashima Antlers to win and Over 2.5 at 3.45.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

KashimaKashiwa
Games played2020
Wins1211
Draws30
Losses59
Goals scored3434
Goals conceded2528
Scored per game1.71.7
Conceded per game1.31.4
Home record7W 1D 1L5W 0D 5L
Away record5W 2D 4L6W 0D 4L
Clean sheets45%15%
Both teams scored45%45%
Over 2.5 goals45%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals75%1.33
Over 2.5 goals50%2.01
Over 3.5 goals28%3.61
Both teams to score52%1.92
Kashima Antlers or Draw77%1.29
Kashiwa Reysol or Draw49%2.06
Kashima Antlers to win and Over 2.531%3.21
Kashiwa Reysol to win and Over 2.513%7.91
Kashima Antlers clean sheet36%2.76
Kashiwa Reysol clean sheet19%5.19

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.4%
1-010.8%
2-19.6%
2-09.5%
0-07.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Kashima Antlers vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Our prediction for Kashima Antlers vs Kashiwa Reysol is Kashima Antlers to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Kashima Antlers or Draw at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Kashima Antlers vs Kashiwa Reysol?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Kashima Antlers to score 1.6 goals and Kashiwa Reysol 1.0.

Will both teams score in Kashima Antlers vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Kashima Antlers last 20 games and 9 of Kashiwa Reysol last 20.

How are Kashima Antlers playing?

Kashima Antlers have 12 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Kashiwa Reysol playing?

Kashiwa Reysol have 11 wins, 0 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Kashima Antlers and Kashiwa Reysol last met?

It ended Kashiwa Reysol 0, Kashima Antlers 1. In the last 2 meetings Kashima Antlers won 2 and Kashiwa Reysol won 0.

What is the best bet for Kashima Antlers vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Kashima Antlers or Draw at 1.31, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Kashima against Kashiwa. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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