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Predictions › Japan › Kashiwa Reysol vs JEF United Ichihara-Chiba
J1 LeagueFri 20 Nov, 10:00 Japan time

Kashiwa Reysol vs JEF United Ichihara-Chiba prediction

Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium

Kashiwa ReysolHome
2.46 : 1.14
expected goals
JEF United Ichihara-ChibaAway
66%Kashiwa
19%Draw
16%JEF Utd Chiba
Eagle safe pickKashiwa Reysol or Draw
1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for Kashiwa Reysol vs JEF United Ichihara-Chiba is Kashiwa Reysol to win, with a 66% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Kashiwa Reysol or Draw at 1.19.

Prediction
Kashiwa Reysol to win
Chance
66%
Most likely score
2-1
Expected goals
Kashiwa Reysol 2.5, JEF United Ichihara-Chiba 1.1
Best bet
Kashiwa Reysol or Draw at 1.19
Both teams to score
63%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Kashiwa Reysol or Draw
84% chanceFair price 1.192 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Kashiwa Reysol to win and both score
36% chanceFair price 2.761 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Kashiwa Reysol 66%, the draw 19% and JEF United Ichihara-Chiba 16%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Kashiwa Reysol took 10 points from their last 5 games and JEF United Ichihara-Chiba took 8 from 5. Kashiwa Reysol come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Kashiwa Reysol won 7 of their last 11 games at home. JEF United Ichihara-Chiba won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Kashiwa Reysol score 2.1 goals a game and let in 1.3. JEF United Ichihara-Chiba score 1.2 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Kashiwa Reysol games and 12 of JEF United Ichihara-Chiba games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Kashiwa Reysol won 1 and JEF United Ichihara-Chiba won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Kashiwa Reysol 4, JEF United Ichihara-Chiba 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Kashiwa Reysol or Draw has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Kashiwarecent form+6%
  • JEF Utd Chibarecent form+1%
  • JEF Utd Chibarest between games-2%
Kashiwa form W W W D WJEF Utd Chiba form W W D L DHome edge in this league 17% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Kashiwa Reysol vs JEF United Ichihara-Chiba: Kashiwa Reysol are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Kashiwa Reysol host JEF United Ichihara-Chiba in the J1 League on Fri 20 Nov, 10:00 at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium. Our prediction for Kashiwa Reysol vs JEF United Ichihara-Chiba is Kashiwa Reysol to win, with a 66% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Kashiwa Reysol or Draw at 1.19.

Kashiwa Reysol form

Kashiwa Reysol have 14 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 43 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, L, newest first.

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba form

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Kashiwa Reysol won 1, JEF United Ichihara-Chiba won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Kashiwa Reysol 4, JEF United Ichihara-Chiba 2.

Our call

We expect Kashiwa Reysol to score about 2.5 goals and JEF United Ichihara-Chiba about 1.1. That points to Kashiwa Reysol to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Kashiwa Reysol or Draw at 1.19. Our bold bet is Kashiwa Reysol to win and both score at 2.76.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

KashiwaJEF Utd Chiba
Games played2020
Wins144
Draws15
Losses511
Goals scored4324
Goals conceded2636
Scored per game2.11.2
Conceded per game1.31.8
Home record7W 0D 4L3W 2D 5L
Away record7W 1D 1L1W 3D 6L
Clean sheets25%25%
Both teams scored55%50%
Over 2.5 goals60%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals88%1.14
Over 2.5 goals70%1.43
Over 3.5 goals49%2.06
Both teams to score63%1.59
Kashiwa Reysol or Draw85%1.18
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba or Draw34%2.93
Kashiwa Reysol to win and Over 2.551%1.95
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to win and Over 2.511%9.03
Kashiwa Reysol clean sheet32%3.13
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba clean sheet9%11.72

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-19.4%
2-08.2%
1-18.1%
3-17.7%
3-06.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Kashiwa Reysol vs JEF United Ichihara-Chiba?

Our prediction for Kashiwa Reysol vs JEF United Ichihara-Chiba is Kashiwa Reysol to win, with a 66% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Kashiwa Reysol or Draw at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for Kashiwa Reysol vs JEF United Ichihara-Chiba?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 1-1. We expect Kashiwa Reysol to score 2.5 goals and JEF United Ichihara-Chiba 1.1.

Will both teams score in Kashiwa Reysol vs JEF United Ichihara-Chiba?

Both teams to score has a 63% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Kashiwa Reysol last 20 games and 10 of JEF United Ichihara-Chiba last 20.

How are Kashiwa Reysol playing?

Kashiwa Reysol have 14 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 43 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, L, newest first.

How are JEF United Ichihara-Chiba playing?

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, L, D, newest first.

What happened when Kashiwa Reysol and JEF United Ichihara-Chiba last met?

It ended Kashiwa Reysol 4, JEF United Ichihara-Chiba 2. In the last 2 meetings Kashiwa Reysol won 1 and JEF United Ichihara-Chiba won 1.

What is the best bet for Kashiwa Reysol vs JEF United Ichihara-Chiba?

Kashiwa Reysol or Draw at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Kashiwa against JEF Utd Chiba. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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