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Predictions › Japan › Kashiwa Reysol vs Kawasaki Frontale
J1 LeagueSat 7 Nov, 07:00 Japan time

Kashiwa Reysol vs Kawasaki Frontale prediction

Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium

Kashiwa ReysolHome
1.44 : 1.30
expected goals
Kawasaki FrontaleAway
40%Kashiwa
27%Draw
33%Kawasaki
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Kashiwa Reysol vs Kawasaki Frontale is Kashiwa Reysol to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

Prediction
Kashiwa Reysol to win
Chance
40%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Kashiwa Reysol 1.4, Kawasaki Frontale 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.30
Both teams to score
56%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.302 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.791 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Kashiwa Reysol 40%, the draw 27% and Kawasaki Frontale 33%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Kashiwa Reysol took 10 points from their last 5 games and Kawasaki Frontale took 10 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Kashiwa Reysol won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Kawasaki Frontale won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Kashiwa Reysol score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.4. Kawasaki Frontale score 1.6 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Kashiwa Reysol games and 11 of Kawasaki Frontale games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Kashiwa Reysol won 1 and Kawasaki Frontale won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Kashiwa Reysol 1, Kawasaki Frontale 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Kashiwarecent form+1%
  • Kawasakirecent form+1%
Kashiwa form D W D L WKawasaki form D W W L DHome edge in this league 16% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Kashiwa Reysol vs Kawasaki Frontale: Kashiwa Reysol shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Kashiwa Reysol host Kawasaki Frontale in the J1 League on Sat 7 Nov, 07:00 at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium. Our prediction for Kashiwa Reysol vs Kawasaki Frontale is Kashiwa Reysol to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

Kashiwa Reysol form

Kashiwa Reysol have 12 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, W, newest first.

Kawasaki Frontale form

Kawasaki Frontale have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Kashiwa Reysol won 1, Kawasaki Frontale won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Kashiwa Reysol 1, Kawasaki Frontale 0.

Our call

We expect Kashiwa Reysol to score about 1.4 goals and Kawasaki Frontale about 1.3. That points to Kashiwa Reysol to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.79.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

KashiwaKawasaki
Games played2020
Wins128
Draws15
Losses77
Goals scored3831
Goals conceded2928
Scored per game1.91.6
Conceded per game1.41.4
Home record5W 0D 5L5W 3D 2L
Away record7W 1D 2L3W 2D 5L
Clean sheets20%10%
Both teams scored55%70%
Over 2.5 goals55%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals76%1.31
Over 2.5 goals51%1.94
Over 3.5 goals29%3.41
Both teams to score56%1.78
Kashiwa Reysol or Draw67%1.50
Kawasaki Frontale or Draw60%1.66
Kashiwa Reysol to win and Over 2.524%4.11
Kawasaki Frontale to win and Over 2.520%4.96
Kashiwa Reysol clean sheet27%3.67
Kawasaki Frontale clean sheet24%4.20

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.8%
2-18.7%
1-08.6%
1-27.9%
0-17.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Kashiwa Reysol vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Our prediction for Kashiwa Reysol vs Kawasaki Frontale is Kashiwa Reysol to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Kashiwa Reysol vs Kawasaki Frontale?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Kashiwa Reysol to score 1.4 goals and Kawasaki Frontale 1.3.

Will both teams score in Kashiwa Reysol vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Kashiwa Reysol last 20 games and 14 of Kawasaki Frontale last 20.

How are Kashiwa Reysol playing?

Kashiwa Reysol have 12 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Kawasaki Frontale playing?

Kawasaki Frontale have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, D, newest first.

What happened when Kashiwa Reysol and Kawasaki Frontale last met?

It ended Kashiwa Reysol 1, Kawasaki Frontale 0. In the last 3 meetings Kashiwa Reysol won 1 and Kawasaki Frontale won 1.

What is the best bet for Kashiwa Reysol vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Kashiwa against Kawasaki. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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