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Predictions › Japan › Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus
J1 LeagueSat 17 Oct, 10:00 Japan time

Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus prediction

Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium

Kashiwa ReysolHome
1.81 : 0.98
expected goals
Nagoya GrampusAway
56%Kashiwa
24%Draw
20%Nagoya
Eagle safe pickKashiwa Reysol or Draw
1.29

Quick answer

Our prediction for Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus is Kashiwa Reysol to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Kashiwa Reysol or Draw at 1.29.

Prediction
Kashiwa Reysol to win
Chance
56%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Kashiwa Reysol 1.8, Nagoya Grampus 1.0
Best bet
Kashiwa Reysol or Draw at 1.29
Both teams to score
53%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Kashiwa Reysol or Draw
78% chanceFair price 1.292 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Kashiwa Reysol to win and Over 2.5
34% chanceFair price 2.931 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Kashiwa Reysol 56%, the draw 24% and Nagoya Grampus 20%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Kashiwa Reysol took 9 points from their last 5 games and Nagoya Grampus took 3 from 5. Kashiwa Reysol come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Kashiwa Reysol won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Nagoya Grampus won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Kashiwa Reysol score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.3. Nagoya Grampus score 1.5 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Kashiwa Reysol games and 15 of Nagoya Grampus games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Kashiwa Reysol won 1 and Nagoya Grampus won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Kashiwa Reysol 1, Nagoya Grampus 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Kashiwa Reysol or Draw has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Kashiwarecent form-1%
  • Nagoyarecent form-4%
Kashiwa form W L W L LNagoya form L L L L WHome edge in this league 15% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus: Kashiwa Reysol are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Kashiwa Reysol host Nagoya Grampus in the J1 League on Sat 17 Oct, 10:00 at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium. Our prediction for Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus is Kashiwa Reysol to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Kashiwa Reysol or Draw at 1.29.

Kashiwa Reysol form

Kashiwa Reysol have 11 wins, 0 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Nagoya Grampus form

Nagoya Grampus have 7 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 0 draws and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Kashiwa Reysol won 1, Nagoya Grampus won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Kashiwa Reysol 1, Nagoya Grampus 0.

Our call

We expect Kashiwa Reysol to score about 1.8 goals and Nagoya Grampus about 1.0. That points to Kashiwa Reysol to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Kashiwa Reysol or Draw at 1.29. Our bold bet is Kashiwa Reysol to win and Over 2.5 at 2.93.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

KashiwaNagoya
Games played2020
Wins117
Draws03
Losses910
Goals scored3330
Goals conceded2636
Scored per game1.61.5
Conceded per game1.31.8
Home record5W 0D 5L5W 3D 2L
Away record6W 0D 4L2W 0D 8L
Clean sheets20%15%
Both teams scored40%65%
Over 2.5 goals45%75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals77%1.29
Over 2.5 goals53%1.89
Over 3.5 goals31%3.27
Both teams to score53%1.89
Kashiwa Reysol or Draw80%1.24
Nagoya Grampus or Draw44%2.28
Kashiwa Reysol to win and Over 2.536%2.80
Nagoya Grampus to win and Over 2.511%8.88
Kashiwa Reysol clean sheet37%2.67
Nagoya Grampus clean sheet16%6.10

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.6%
1-010.5%
2-010.1%
2-19.9%
0-06.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus?

Our prediction for Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus is Kashiwa Reysol to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Kashiwa Reysol or Draw at 1.29.

What is the score prediction for Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-0. We expect Kashiwa Reysol to score 1.8 goals and Nagoya Grampus 1.0.

Will both teams score in Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus?

Both teams to score has a 53% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Kashiwa Reysol last 20 games and 13 of Nagoya Grampus last 20.

How are Kashiwa Reysol playing?

Kashiwa Reysol have 11 wins, 0 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Nagoya Grampus playing?

Nagoya Grampus have 7 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 0 draws and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Kashiwa Reysol and Nagoya Grampus last met?

It ended Kashiwa Reysol 1, Nagoya Grampus 0. In the last 1 meeting Kashiwa Reysol won 1 and Nagoya Grampus won 0.

What is the best bet for Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus?

Kashiwa Reysol or Draw at 1.29, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Kashiwa against Nagoya. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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