Predictions › Japan › Kashiwa Reysol vs Urawa Red Diamonds

J1 LeagueSat 31 Oct, 07:00 Japan time

Kashiwa Reysol vs Urawa Red Diamonds prediction

Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium

Kashiwa ReysolHome

1.54 : 1.28

expected goals

Urawa Red DiamondsAway

43%Kashiwa

26%Draw

31%Urawa Reds

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.29

Quick answer

Our prediction for Kashiwa Reysol vs Urawa Red Diamonds is Kashiwa Reysol to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29.

Prediction: Kashiwa Reysol to win
Chance: 43%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Kashiwa Reysol 1.5, Urawa Red Diamonds 1.3
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.29
Both teams to score: 57%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

78% chanceFair price 1.292 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Kashiwa Reysol to win and Over 2.5

26% chanceFair price 3.831 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Kashiwa Reysol 43%, the draw 26% and Urawa Red Diamonds 31%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Kashiwa Reysol took 10 points from their last 5 games and Urawa Red Diamonds took 9 from 5. Kashiwa Reysol come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Kashiwa Reysol won 5 of their last 11 games at home. Urawa Red Diamonds won 5 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Kashiwa Reysol score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.4. Urawa Red Diamonds score 1.4 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Kashiwa Reysol games and 10 of Urawa Red Diamonds games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Kashiwa Reysol won 0 and Urawa Red Diamonds won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Kashiwa Reysol 0, Urawa Red Diamonds 1.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Kashiwarecent form+3%
Kashiwarest between games-5%

Kashiwa form D L W W WUrawa Reds form D L W L WHome edge in this league 15% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Kashiwa Reysol vs Urawa Red Diamonds: Kashiwa Reysol shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Kashiwa Reysol host Urawa Red Diamonds in the J1 League on Sat 31 Oct, 07:00 at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium. Our prediction for Kashiwa Reysol vs Urawa Red Diamonds is Kashiwa Reysol to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29.

Kashiwa Reysol form

Kashiwa Reysol have 11 wins, 1 draw and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Urawa Red Diamonds form

Urawa Red Diamonds have 9 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Kashiwa Reysol won 0, Urawa Red Diamonds won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Kashiwa Reysol 0, Urawa Red Diamonds 1.

Our call

We expect Kashiwa Reysol to score about 1.5 goals and Urawa Red Diamonds about 1.3. That points to Kashiwa Reysol to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29. Our bold bet is Kashiwa Reysol to win and Over 2.5 at 3.83.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Kashiwa	Urawa Reds
Games played	20	20
Wins	11	9
Draws	1	2
Losses	8	9
Goals scored	35	29
Goals conceded	28	30
Scored per game	1.8	1.4
Conceded per game	1.4	1.5
Home record	5W 0D 6L	4W 1D 4L
Away record	6W 1D 2L	5W 1D 5L
Clean sheets	20%	30%
Both teams scored	50%	50%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	78%	1.28
Over 2.5 goals	54%	1.87
Over 3.5 goals	31%	3.20
Both teams to score	57%	1.74
Kashiwa Reysol or Draw	69%	1.45
Urawa Red Diamonds or Draw	57%	1.75
Kashiwa Reysol to win and Over 2.5	27%	3.67
Urawa Red Diamonds to win and Over 2.5	19%	5.24
Kashiwa Reysol clean sheet	28%	3.59
Urawa Red Diamonds clean sheet	21%	4.68

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.4%

2-19.1%

1-08.5%

1-27.5%

2-07.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Kashiwa Reysol vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

Our prediction for Kashiwa Reysol vs Urawa Red Diamonds is Kashiwa Reysol to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29.

What is the score prediction for Kashiwa Reysol vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Kashiwa Reysol to score 1.5 goals and Urawa Red Diamonds 1.3.

Will both teams score in Kashiwa Reysol vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

Both teams to score has a 57% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Kashiwa Reysol last 20 games and 10 of Urawa Red Diamonds last 20.

How are Kashiwa Reysol playing?

How are Urawa Red Diamonds playing?

What happened when Kashiwa Reysol and Urawa Red Diamonds last met?

It ended Kashiwa Reysol 0, Urawa Red Diamonds 1. In the last 2 meetings Kashiwa Reysol won 0 and Urawa Red Diamonds won 1.

What is the best bet for Kashiwa Reysol vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.29, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Kashiwa against Urawa Reds. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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