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Predictions › Japan › Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe
J1 LeagueFri 9 Oct, 10:00 Japan time

Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe prediction

Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium

Kashiwa ReysolHome
1.07 : 1.14
expected goals
Vissel KobeAway
33%Kashiwa
31%Draw
36%Vissel Kobe
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.26

Quick answer

Our prediction for Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe is Vissel Kobe to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.26.

Prediction
Vissel Kobe to win
Chance
36%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Kashiwa Reysol 1.1, Vissel Kobe 1.1
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.26
Both teams to score
45%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
79% chanceFair price 1.262 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.051 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Kashiwa Reysol 33%, the draw 31% and Vissel Kobe 36%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Kashiwa Reysol took 9 points from their last 5 games and Vissel Kobe took 15 from 5. Vissel Kobe come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Kashiwa Reysol won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Vissel Kobe won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Kashiwa Reysol score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.3. Vissel Kobe score 1.6 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Kashiwa Reysol games and 9 of Vissel Kobe games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Kashiwa Reysol won 0 and Vissel Kobe won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Vissel Kobe 0, Kashiwa Reysol 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Kashiwarecent form-1%
  • Vissel Koberecent form+7%
Kashiwa form W L W L LVissel Kobe form W W W W WHome edge in this league 15% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe: Vissel Kobe shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Kashiwa Reysol host Vissel Kobe in the J1 League on Fri 9 Oct, 10:00 at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium. Our prediction for Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe is Vissel Kobe to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.26.

Kashiwa Reysol form

Kashiwa Reysol have 11 wins, 0 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Vissel Kobe form

Vissel Kobe have 12 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Kashiwa Reysol won 0, Vissel Kobe won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Vissel Kobe 0, Kashiwa Reysol 0.

Our call

We expect Kashiwa Reysol to score about 1.1 goals and Vissel Kobe about 1.1. That points to Vissel Kobe to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.26. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.05.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

KashiwaVissel Kobe
Games played2020
Wins1112
Draws04
Losses94
Goals scored3331
Goals conceded2621
Scored per game1.61.6
Conceded per game1.31.1
Home record5W 0D 5L7W 2D 1L
Away record6W 0D 4L5W 2D 3L
Clean sheets20%45%
Both teams scored40%35%
Over 2.5 goals45%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals66%1.52
Over 2.5 goals38%2.63
Over 3.5 goals18%5.48
Both teams to score45%2.20
Kashiwa Reysol or Draw64%1.57
Vissel Kobe or Draw67%1.49
Kashiwa Reysol to win and Over 2.516%6.33
Vissel Kobe to win and Over 2.518%5.71
Kashiwa Reysol clean sheet32%3.12
Vissel Kobe clean sheet34%2.92

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.2%
0-011.8%
0-111.7%
1-011.0%
1-27.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe?

Our prediction for Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe is Vissel Kobe to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.26.

What is the score prediction for Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 0-1. We expect Kashiwa Reysol to score 1.1 goals and Vissel Kobe 1.1.

Will both teams score in Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe?

Both teams to score has a 45% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Kashiwa Reysol last 20 games and 7 of Vissel Kobe last 20.

How are Kashiwa Reysol playing?

Kashiwa Reysol have 11 wins, 0 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Vissel Kobe playing?

Vissel Kobe have 12 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Kashiwa Reysol and Vissel Kobe last met?

It ended Vissel Kobe 0, Kashiwa Reysol 0. In the last 1 meeting Kashiwa Reysol won 0 and Vissel Kobe won 0.

What is the best bet for Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.26, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Kashiwa against Vissel Kobe. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
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