Predictions › Turkey › Kasimpasa vs Alanyaspor

Super LigSun 22 Nov, 13:00 Turkey time

Kasimpasa vs Alanyaspor prediction

Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium

KasimpasaHome

1.59 : 1.00

expected goals

AlanyasporAway

50%Kasimpasa

27%Draw

23%Alanyaspor

Eagle safe pickKasimpasa or Draw

1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Kasimpasa vs Alanyaspor is Kasimpasa to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Kasimpasa or Draw at 1.30.

Prediction: Kasimpasa to win
Chance: 50%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Kasimpasa 1.6, Alanyaspor 1.0
Best bet: Kasimpasa or Draw at 1.30
Both teams to score: 51%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Kasimpasa or Draw

77% chanceFair price 1.302 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Kasimpasa to win and Over 2.5

29% chanceFair price 3.431 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Kasimpasa 50%, the draw 27% and Alanyaspor 23%. The bookmakers agree and make Kasimpasa the favourite at 2.00.
2
Recent form
Kasimpasa took 10 points from their last 5 games and Alanyaspor took 1 from 5. Kasimpasa come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Kasimpasa won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Alanyaspor won 2 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Kasimpasa score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.2. Alanyaspor score 1.2 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Kasimpasa games and 11 of Alanyaspor games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Kasimpasa won 2 and Alanyaspor won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Kasimpasa 1, Alanyaspor 0.
6
The safest bet
Kasimpasa or Draw has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Kasimpasarecent form+3%
Alanyasporrecent form-6%

Kasimpasa form W D W W LAlanyaspor form L L L L DHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Kasimpasa vs Alanyaspor: Kasimpasa are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Kasimpasa host Alanyaspor in the Super Lig on Sun 22 Nov, 13:00 at Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium. Our prediction for Kasimpasa vs Alanyaspor is Kasimpasa to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Kasimpasa or Draw at 1.30.

Kasimpasa form

Kasimpasa have 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 5 draws and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, L, newest first.

Alanyaspor form

Alanyaspor have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Kasimpasa won 2, Alanyaspor won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Kasimpasa 1, Alanyaspor 0.

Our call

We expect Kasimpasa to score about 1.6 goals and Alanyaspor about 1.0. That points to Kasimpasa to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Kasimpasa or Draw at 1.30. Our bold bet is Kasimpasa to win and Over 2.5 at 3.43.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Kasimpasa	Alanyaspor
Games played	20	20
Wins	9	5
Draws	7	7
Losses	4	8
Goals scored	29	24
Goals conceded	24	29
Scored per game	1.4	1.2
Conceded per game	1.2	1.4
Home record	5W 5D 0L	3W 3D 3L
Away record	4W 2D 4L	2W 4D 5L
Clean sheets	40%	25%
Both teams scored	55%	55%
Over 2.5 goals	45%	55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Kasimpasa to win	47%	2.14	2.00	-6.6%
A Draw	26%	3.84	3.35	-12.8%
Alanyaspor to win	23%	4.43	3.55	-20.0%
Over 2.5 goals	46%	2.17	1.83	-15.6%
Under 2.5 goals	47%	2.13	1.83	-13.9%
Kasimpasa -0.5	45%	2.21	1.91	-13.8%
Alanyaspor +0.5	48%	2.09	1.71	-17.9%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	74%	1.36
Over 2.5 goals	48%	2.09
Over 3.5 goals	26%	3.82
Both teams to score	51%	1.96
Kasimpasa or Draw	77%	1.30
Alanyaspor or Draw	50%	2.01
Kasimpasa to win and Over 2.5	30%	3.38
Alanyaspor to win and Over 2.5	13%	7.92
Kasimpasa clean sheet	37%	2.73
Alanyaspor clean sheet	20%	4.88

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.7%

1-011.2%

2-19.5%

2-09.4%

0-08.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Kasimpasa vs Alanyaspor?

Our prediction for Kasimpasa vs Alanyaspor is Kasimpasa to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Kasimpasa or Draw at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Kasimpasa vs Alanyaspor?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Kasimpasa to score 1.6 goals and Alanyaspor 1.0.

Will both teams score in Kasimpasa vs Alanyaspor?

Both teams to score has a 51% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Kasimpasa last 20 games and 11 of Alanyaspor last 20.

How are Kasimpasa playing?

How are Alanyaspor playing?

What happened when Kasimpasa and Alanyaspor last met?

It ended Kasimpasa 1, Alanyaspor 0. In the last 2 meetings Kasimpasa won 2 and Alanyaspor won 0.

What is the best bet for Kasimpasa vs Alanyaspor?

Kasimpasa or Draw at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Kasimpasa against Alanyaspor. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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