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Predictions › Turkey › Kasimpasa vs Besiktas
Super LigSun 1 Nov, 16:00 Turkey time

Kasimpasa vs Besiktas prediction

Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium

KasimpasaHome
1.22 : 1.21
expected goals
BesiktasAway
36%Kasimpasa
29%Draw
35%Besiktas
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.29

Quick answer

Our prediction for Kasimpasa vs Besiktas is Kasimpasa to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29.

Prediction
Kasimpasa to win
Chance
36%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Kasimpasa 1.2, Besiktas 1.2
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.29
Both teams to score
50%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.292 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.261 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Kasimpasa 36%, the draw 29% and Besiktas 35%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Kasimpasa took 8 points from their last 5 games and Besiktas took 9 from 5. Besiktas come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Kasimpasa won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Besiktas won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Kasimpasa score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.4. Besiktas score 1.9 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Kasimpasa games and 12 of Besiktas games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Kasimpasa won 0 and Besiktas won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Besiktas 2, Kasimpasa 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Besiktasrecent form+3%
Kasimpasa form D L D W DBesiktas form D W W L WHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Kasimpasa vs Besiktas: Kasimpasa shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Kasimpasa host Besiktas in the Super Lig on Sun 1 Nov, 16:00 at Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium. Our prediction for Kasimpasa vs Besiktas is Kasimpasa to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29.

Kasimpasa form

Kasimpasa have 7 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, D, newest first.

Besiktas form

Besiktas have 11 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Kasimpasa won 0, Besiktas won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Besiktas 2, Kasimpasa 1.

Our call

We expect Kasimpasa to score about 1.2 goals and Besiktas about 1.2. That points to Kasimpasa to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.26.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

KasimpasaBesiktas
Games played2020
Wins711
Draws82
Losses57
Goals scored2637
Goals conceded2724
Scored per game1.31.9
Conceded per game1.41.2
Home record5W 4D 1L7W 1D 2L
Away record2W 4D 4L4W 1D 5L
Clean sheets30%25%
Both teams scored60%55%
Over 2.5 goals45%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals71%1.42
Over 2.5 goals44%2.29
Over 3.5 goals23%4.40
Both teams to score50%1.99
Kasimpasa or Draw65%1.54
Besiktas or Draw64%1.56
Kasimpasa to win and Over 2.519%5.19
Besiktas to win and Over 2.519%5.31
Kasimpasa clean sheet30%3.34
Besiktas clean sheet29%3.39

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.8%
1-010.0%
0-19.9%
0-09.6%
2-17.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Kasimpasa vs Besiktas?

Our prediction for Kasimpasa vs Besiktas is Kasimpasa to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29.

What is the score prediction for Kasimpasa vs Besiktas?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-1. We expect Kasimpasa to score 1.2 goals and Besiktas 1.2.

Will both teams score in Kasimpasa vs Besiktas?

Both teams to score has a 50% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Kasimpasa last 20 games and 11 of Besiktas last 20.

How are Kasimpasa playing?

Kasimpasa have 7 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, D, newest first.

How are Besiktas playing?

Besiktas have 11 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Kasimpasa and Besiktas last met?

It ended Besiktas 2, Kasimpasa 1. In the last 2 meetings Kasimpasa won 0 and Besiktas won 1.

What is the best bet for Kasimpasa vs Besiktas?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.29, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Kasimpasa against Besiktas. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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