EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › Turkey › Kasimpasa vs Samsunspor
Super LigSun 18 Oct, 10:30 Turkey time

Kasimpasa vs Samsunspor prediction

Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium

KasimpasaHome
1.18 : 0.93
expected goals
SamsunsporAway
41%Kasimpasa
31%Draw
28%Samsunspor
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.23

Quick answer

Our prediction for Kasimpasa vs Samsunspor is Kasimpasa to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.23.

Prediction
Kasimpasa to win
Chance
41%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Kasimpasa 1.2, Samsunspor 0.9
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.23
Both teams to score
43%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
81% chanceFair price 1.232 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.081 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Kasimpasa 41%, the draw 31% and Samsunspor 28%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Kasimpasa took 9 points from their last 5 games and Samsunspor took 3 from 5. Kasimpasa come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Kasimpasa won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Samsunspor won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Kasimpasa score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.4. Samsunspor score 1.6 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Kasimpasa games and 14 of Samsunspor games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Kasimpasa won 0 and Samsunspor won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Kasimpasa 0, Samsunspor 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Kasimpasarecent form+3%
  • Samsunsporrecent form-4%
Kasimpasa form D W D D WSamsunspor form L L L L WHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Kasimpasa vs Samsunspor: Kasimpasa shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Kasimpasa host Samsunspor in the Super Lig on Sun 18 Oct, 10:30 at Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium. Our prediction for Kasimpasa vs Samsunspor is Kasimpasa to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.23.

Kasimpasa form

Kasimpasa have 7 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, D, W, newest first.

Samsunspor form

Samsunspor have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Kasimpasa won 0, Samsunspor won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Kasimpasa 0, Samsunspor 1.

Our call

We expect Kasimpasa to score about 1.2 goals and Samsunspor about 0.9. That points to Kasimpasa to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.23. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.08.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

KasimpasaSamsunspor
Games played2020
Wins79
Draws83
Losses58
Goals scored2533
Goals conceded2733
Scored per game1.31.6
Conceded per game1.41.6
Home record5W 4D 1L5W 3D 3L
Away record2W 4D 4L4W 0D 5L
Clean sheets30%25%
Both teams scored60%55%
Over 2.5 goals45%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals63%1.58
Over 2.5 goals35%2.83
Over 3.5 goals16%6.13
Both teams to score43%2.34
Kasimpasa or Draw72%1.39
Samsunspor or Draw59%1.68
Kasimpasa to win and Over 2.519%5.33
Samsunspor to win and Over 2.512%8.05
Kasimpasa clean sheet39%2.54
Samsunspor clean sheet31%3.24

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.1%
1-013.5%
0-012.9%
0-110.5%
2-08.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Kasimpasa vs Samsunspor?

Our prediction for Kasimpasa vs Samsunspor is Kasimpasa to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.23.

What is the score prediction for Kasimpasa vs Samsunspor?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Kasimpasa to score 1.2 goals and Samsunspor 0.9.

Will both teams score in Kasimpasa vs Samsunspor?

Both teams to score has a 43% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Kasimpasa last 20 games and 11 of Samsunspor last 20.

How are Kasimpasa playing?

Kasimpasa have 7 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, D, W, newest first.

How are Samsunspor playing?

Samsunspor have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Kasimpasa and Samsunspor last met?

It ended Kasimpasa 0, Samsunspor 1. In the last 2 meetings Kasimpasa won 0 and Samsunspor won 1.

What is the best bet for Kasimpasa vs Samsunspor?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.23, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Kasimpasa against Samsunspor. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.