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Predictions › Japan › Kawasaki Frontale vs Avispa Fukuoka
J1 LeagueSat 21 Nov, 06:00 Japan time

Kawasaki Frontale vs Avispa Fukuoka prediction

Uvance Todoroki Stadium by Fujitsu

Kawasaki FrontaleHome
2.25 : 1.07
expected goals
Avispa FukuokaAway
63%Kawasaki
20%Draw
16%A Fukuoka
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for Kawasaki Frontale vs Avispa Fukuoka is Kawasaki Frontale to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

Prediction
Kawasaki Frontale to win
Chance
63%
Most likely score
2-1
Expected goals
Kawasaki Frontale 2.3, Avispa Fukuoka 1.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.18
Both teams to score
59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
85% chanceFair price 1.182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Kawasaki Frontale to win and Over 2.5
44% chanceFair price 2.271 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Kawasaki Frontale 63%, the draw 20% and Avispa Fukuoka 16%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Kawasaki Frontale took 9 points from their last 5 games and Avispa Fukuoka took 1 from 5. Kawasaki Frontale come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Kawasaki Frontale won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Avispa Fukuoka won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Kawasaki Frontale score 1.7 goals a game and let in 1.5. Avispa Fukuoka score 1.1 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Kawasaki Frontale games and 11 of Avispa Fukuoka games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Kawasakirecent form+1%
  • A Fukuokarecent form-6%
Kawasaki form L L W W WA Fukuoka form D L L L LHome edge in this league 17% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Kawasaki Frontale vs Avispa Fukuoka: Kawasaki Frontale are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Kawasaki Frontale host Avispa Fukuoka in the J1 League on Sat 21 Nov, 06:00 at Uvance Todoroki Stadium by Fujitsu. Our prediction for Kawasaki Frontale vs Avispa Fukuoka is Kawasaki Frontale to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

Kawasaki Frontale form

Kawasaki Frontale have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Avispa Fukuoka form

Avispa Fukuoka have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Kawasaki Frontale to score about 2.3 goals and Avispa Fukuoka about 1.1. That points to Kawasaki Frontale to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18. Our bold bet is Kawasaki Frontale to win and Over 2.5 at 2.27.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

KawasakiA Fukuoka
Games played2020
Wins83
Draws56
Losses711
Goals scored3421
Goals conceded3032
Scored per game1.71.1
Conceded per game1.51.6
Home record5W 3D 2L2W 4D 5L
Away record3W 2D 5L1W 2D 6L
Clean sheets10%5%
Both teams scored80%65%
Over 2.5 goals65%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals85%1.18
Over 2.5 goals64%1.55
Over 3.5 goals42%2.36
Both teams to score59%1.69
Kawasaki Frontale or Draw84%1.19
Avispa Fukuoka or Draw37%2.74
Kawasaki Frontale to win and Over 2.547%2.14
Avispa Fukuoka to win and Over 2.511%9.18
Kawasaki Frontale clean sheet34%2.92
Avispa Fukuoka clean sheet11%9.50

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-19.8%
1-19.2%
2-09.2%
1-07.6%
3-17.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Kawasaki Frontale vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Our prediction for Kawasaki Frontale vs Avispa Fukuoka is Kawasaki Frontale to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for Kawasaki Frontale vs Avispa Fukuoka?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 2-0. We expect Kawasaki Frontale to score 2.3 goals and Avispa Fukuoka 1.1.

Will both teams score in Kawasaki Frontale vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 16 of Kawasaki Frontale last 20 games and 13 of Avispa Fukuoka last 20.

How are Kawasaki Frontale playing?

Kawasaki Frontale have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Avispa Fukuoka playing?

Avispa Fukuoka have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Kawasaki Frontale vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Kawasaki against A Fukuoka. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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