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Predictions › Japan › Kawasaki Frontale vs Vissel Kobe
J1 LeagueWed 21 Oct, 10:00 Japan time

Kawasaki Frontale vs Vissel Kobe prediction

Uvance Todoroki Stadium by Fujitsu

Kawasaki FrontaleHome
1.58 : 1.72
expected goals
Vissel KobeAway
35%Kawasaki
24%Draw
41%Vissel Kobe
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.22

Quick answer

Our prediction for Kawasaki Frontale vs Vissel Kobe is Vissel Kobe to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

Prediction
Vissel Kobe to win
Chance
41%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Kawasaki Frontale 1.6, Vissel Kobe 1.7
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.22
Both teams to score
66%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
82% chanceFair price 1.222 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Vissel Kobe to win and Over 2.5
28% chanceFair price 3.601 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Kawasaki Frontale 35%, the draw 24% and Vissel Kobe 41%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Kawasaki Frontale took 7 points from their last 5 games and Vissel Kobe took 12 from 5. Vissel Kobe come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Kawasaki Frontale won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Vissel Kobe won 5 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Kawasaki Frontale score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.4. Vissel Kobe score 1.6 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Kawasaki Frontale games and 10 of Vissel Kobe games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Kawasakirecent form+1%
  • Vissel Koberecent form+6%
  • Kawasakirest between games-5%
  • Vissel Koberest between games-2%
Kawasaki form D D W W LVissel Kobe form D W W W WHome edge in this league 16% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Kawasaki Frontale vs Vissel Kobe: Vissel Kobe shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Kawasaki Frontale host Vissel Kobe in the J1 League on Wed 21 Oct, 10:00 at Uvance Todoroki Stadium by Fujitsu. Our prediction for Kawasaki Frontale vs Vissel Kobe is Vissel Kobe to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

Kawasaki Frontale form

Kawasaki Frontale have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, L, newest first.

Vissel Kobe form

Vissel Kobe have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Kawasaki Frontale to score about 1.6 goals and Vissel Kobe about 1.7. That points to Vissel Kobe to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22. Our bold bet is Vissel Kobe to win and Over 2.5 at 3.60.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

KawasakiVissel Kobe
Games played2020
Wins711
Draws54
Losses85
Goals scored2731
Goals conceded2825
Scored per game1.41.6
Conceded per game1.41.3
Home record4W 3D 3L6W 2D 1L
Away record3W 2D 5L5W 2D 4L
Clean sheets10%40%
Both teams scored65%40%
Over 2.5 goals50%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals85%1.18
Over 2.5 goals64%1.56
Over 3.5 goals42%2.39
Both teams to score66%1.52
Kawasaki Frontale or Draw59%1.69
Vissel Kobe or Draw65%1.54
Kawasaki Frontale to win and Over 2.525%3.99
Vissel Kobe to win and Over 2.530%3.38
Kawasaki Frontale clean sheet18%5.57
Vissel Kobe clean sheet21%4.84

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.7%
1-28.6%
2-17.9%
2-26.8%
0-15.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Kawasaki Frontale vs Vissel Kobe?

Our prediction for Kawasaki Frontale vs Vissel Kobe is Vissel Kobe to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

What is the score prediction for Kawasaki Frontale vs Vissel Kobe?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Kawasaki Frontale to score 1.6 goals and Vissel Kobe 1.7.

Will both teams score in Kawasaki Frontale vs Vissel Kobe?

Both teams to score has a 66% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Kawasaki Frontale last 20 games and 8 of Vissel Kobe last 20.

How are Kawasaki Frontale playing?

Kawasaki Frontale have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Vissel Kobe playing?

Vissel Kobe have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Kawasaki Frontale vs Vissel Kobe?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.22, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Kawasaki against Vissel Kobe. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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