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Predictions › United States › Kent State Golden Flashes vs Bowling Green Falcons
College FootballTue 10 Nov, 19:00 United States time

Kent State Golden Flashes vs Bowling Green Falcons prediction

Doyt L. Perry Stadium

Kent State Golden FlashesAway
13.4 : 29.1
projected points
Bowling Green FalconsHome
16%Kent State
84%Bowling Green
Eagle safe pickBowling Green to win
-529

Quick answer

Our prediction for Kent State Golden Flashes vs Bowling Green Falcons is Bowling Green Falcons to win, with a 84% chance. We project Kent State Golden Flashes 13.4 and Bowling Green Falcons 29.1. Our best bet is Bowling Green to win at -529.

Prediction
Bowling Green Falcons to win
Chance
84%
Projected score
Kent State Golden Flashes 13, Bowling Green Falcons 29
Projected total
42.6 points
Best bet
Bowling Green to win at -529

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Bowling Green to win
84% chanceFair price -5292 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Bowling Green Falcons 84% and Kent State Golden Flashes 16%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Bowling Green Falcons won 2 of their last 5 and Kent State Golden Flashes won 1 of their last 5. Bowling Green Falcons come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Bowling Green Falcons won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Kent State Golden Flashes won 2 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Bowling Green Falcons score 18.9 points a game and let in 26.9. Kent State Golden Flashes score 18.4 and let in 31.5. Their recent games average 45.8 and 49.9 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Bowling Green Falcons won 0 and Kent State Golden Flashes won 1. The last one ended Kent State Golden Flashes 24, Bowling Green Falcons 21.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Bowling Green to win has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Bowling Greenrest between games-5%
  • Kent Staterest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Kent State Golden Flashes vs Bowling Green Falcons: Bowling Green Falcons are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Bowling Green Falcons host Kent State Golden Flashes in the College Football on Tue 10 Nov, 19:00 at Doyt L. Perry Stadium. Our prediction for Kent State Golden Flashes vs Bowling Green Falcons is Bowling Green Falcons to win, with a 84% chance. We project Kent State Golden Flashes 13.4 and Bowling Green Falcons 29.1. Our best bet is Bowling Green to win at -529.

Bowling Green Falcons form

Bowling Green Falcons have 5 wins and 14 losses in their last 19 games, with 360 points scored and 511 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Kent State Golden Flashes form

Kent State Golden Flashes have 7 wins and 12 losses in their last 19 games, with 349 points scored and 599 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 9 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Bowling Green Falcons won 0, Kent State Golden Flashes won 1. Last time out it finished Kent State Golden Flashes 24, Bowling Green Falcons 21.

Our call

We expect Kent State Golden Flashes to score about 13.4 points and Bowling Green Falcons about 29.1. That points to Bowling Green Falcons to win. Our safest bet is Bowling Green to win at -529.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 19 games in all competitions.

Bowling GreenKent State
Games played1919
Wins57
Losses1412
Points scored360349
Points conceded511599
Scored per game18.918.4
Conceded per game26.931.5
Home record3W 6L5W 3L
Away record2W 8L2W 9L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Bowling Green spreadCoversFair
Bowling Green -22.534%+198
Bowling Green -18.543%+132
Bowling Green -15.550%-102
Bowling Green -12.558%-138
Bowling Green -8.567%-206
Total pointsOverUnder
35.567%33%
39.558%42%
42.550%50%
45.543%57%
49.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Bowling Green +3.5 wins if Bowling Green win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Kent State Golden Flashes vs Bowling Green Falcons?

Our prediction for Kent State Golden Flashes vs Bowling Green Falcons is Bowling Green Falcons to win, with a 84% chance. We project Kent State Golden Flashes 13.4 and Bowling Green Falcons 29.1. Our best bet is Bowling Green to win at -529.

What is the projected score for Kent State Golden Flashes vs Bowling Green Falcons?

We project Kent State Golden Flashes 13.4 and Bowling Green Falcons 29.1, about 42.6 points in total.

How are Bowling Green Falcons playing?

Bowling Green Falcons have 5 wins and 14 losses in their last 19 games, with 360 points scored and 511 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Kent State Golden Flashes playing?

Kent State Golden Flashes have 7 wins and 12 losses in their last 19 games, with 349 points scored and 599 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 9 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Bowling Green Falcons and Kent State Golden Flashes last met?

It ended Kent State Golden Flashes 24, Bowling Green Falcons 21. In the last 1 meeting Bowling Green Falcons won 0 and Kent State Golden Flashes won 1.

What is the best bet for Kent State Golden Flashes vs Bowling Green Falcons?

Bowling Green to win at -529, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Bowling Green against Kent State. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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