Predictions › United States › Kent State Golden Flashes vs Sacramento State Hornets
College FootballFri 30 Oct, 22:30 United States time

Kent State Golden Flashes vs Sacramento State Hornets prediction

Hornet Stadium

Kent State Golden FlashesAway
17.0 : 32.2
projected points
Sacramento State HornetsHome
17%Kent State
83%Sacramento St
Eagle safe pickSacramento St to win
-481

Quick answer

Our prediction for Kent State Golden Flashes vs Sacramento State Hornets is Sacramento State Hornets to win, with a 83% chance. We project Kent State Golden Flashes 17.0 and Sacramento State Hornets 32.2. Our best bet is Sacramento St to win at -481.

Prediction
Sacramento State Hornets to win
Chance
83%
Projected score
Kent State Golden Flashes 17, Sacramento State Hornets 32
Projected total
49.2 points
Best bet
Sacramento St to win at -481

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Sacramento St to win
83% chanceFair price -4812 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Sacramento State Hornets 83% and Kent State Golden Flashes 17%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Sacramento State Hornets won 0 of their last 5 and Kent State Golden Flashes won 1 of their last 5. Kent State Golden Flashes come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Sacramento State Hornets won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Kent State Golden Flashes won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Sacramento State Hornets score 28.8 points a game and let in 29.6. Kent State Golden Flashes score 17.9 and let in 32.2. Their recent games average 58.5 and 50.1 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Sacramento St to win has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Kent State Golden Flashes vs Sacramento State Hornets: Sacramento State Hornets are favourites

The big picture

Sacramento State Hornets host Kent State Golden Flashes in the College Football on Fri 30 Oct, 22:30 at Hornet Stadium. Our prediction for Kent State Golden Flashes vs Sacramento State Hornets is Sacramento State Hornets to win, with a 83% chance. We project Kent State Golden Flashes 17.0 and Sacramento State Hornets 32.2. Our best bet is Sacramento St to win at -481.

Sacramento State Hornets form

Sacramento State Hornets have 8 wins and 9 losses in their last 17 games, with 490 points scored and 504 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Kent State Golden Flashes form

Kent State Golden Flashes have 6 wins and 11 losses in their last 17 games, with 304 points scored and 548 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Kent State Golden Flashes to score about 17.0 points and Sacramento State Hornets about 32.2. That points to Sacramento State Hornets to win. Our safest bet is Sacramento St to win at -481.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 17 games in all competitions.

Sacramento StKent State
Games played1717
Wins86
Losses911
Points scored490304
Points conceded504548
Scored per game28.817.9
Conceded per game29.632.2
Home record5W 5L4W 3L
Away record3W 4L2W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Sacramento St spreadCoversFair
Sacramento St -22.532%+210
Sacramento St -18.542%+140
Sacramento St -15.549%+104
Sacramento St -12.557%-130
Sacramento St -8.566%-195
Total pointsOverUnder
42.566%34%
46.557%43%
49.549%51%
52.542%58%
56.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Sacramento St +3.5 wins if Sacramento St win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Kent State Golden Flashes vs Sacramento State Hornets?

Our prediction for Kent State Golden Flashes vs Sacramento State Hornets is Sacramento State Hornets to win, with a 83% chance. We project Kent State Golden Flashes 17.0 and Sacramento State Hornets 32.2. Our best bet is Sacramento St to win at -481.

What is the projected score for Kent State Golden Flashes vs Sacramento State Hornets?

We project Kent State Golden Flashes 17.0 and Sacramento State Hornets 32.2, about 49.2 points in total.

How are Sacramento State Hornets playing?

Sacramento State Hornets have 8 wins and 9 losses in their last 17 games, with 490 points scored and 504 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Kent State Golden Flashes playing?

Kent State Golden Flashes have 6 wins and 11 losses in their last 17 games, with 304 points scored and 548 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Kent State Golden Flashes vs Sacramento State Hornets?

Sacramento St to win at -481, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Sacramento St against Kent State. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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